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Wake Forest16atVirginia9

2025 · Week 11

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-21.9-110+11+21.9Wake Forest — Off. field pos.: +7.9+7.9Virginia — Off. field pos.: +1.2+1.2Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Off. scoring eff.: -16.7-16.7Virginia — Off. scoring eff.: -19.0-19.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Def. field pos.: -1.2-1.2Virginia — Def. field pos.: -7.9-7.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Def. scoring eff.: +19.0+19.0Virginia — Def. scoring eff.: +16.7+16.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Virginia — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Wake ForestVirginiaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

0918Q1Q2Q3FinalWake Forest 16Virginia 9
Wake ForestVirginiahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Wake ForestVirginia
Total yards203327
Rushing yards139163
Rushing attempts4130
Yds / rush3.45.4
Passing yards64164
Passing attempts2334
Yds / pass2.84.8
First downs1213
Turnovers03
Penalties53
Penalty yards5215
Sacks20
Time of possession31:4228:18

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Wake Forest
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)41% / 59%24%5.1
Q2(15)20% / 80%33%2.7
Q3(10)60% / 40%30%2.2
Q4(21)33% / 67%29%2.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 121st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(5)10.00%-1.4
2nd(8)10.825%3.5
3rd(9)9.122%4.8
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (23)—17%2.8
Rushing by down(offense 61st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.842%4.6
2nd(12)5.817%1.3
3rd(8)4.938%4.6
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (40)—35%3.6
Virginia
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)50% / 50%8%2.3
Q2(15)53% / 47%40%6.5
Q3(20)55% / 45%30%5.5
Q4(14)64% / 36%43%7.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 62nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.933%4.0
2nd(9)7.356%8.6
3rd(8)6.613%3.4
4th(2)3.00%0.0
All (34)—32%4.8
Rushing by down(offense 56th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.030%7.2
2nd(11)7.218%2.4
3rd(5)3.240%13.2
4th(1)1.0100%5.0
All (27)—30%6.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 24 → FG4Drive 4: own 15 → Punt6Drive 6: own 38 → Downs8Drive 8: own 5 → FG10Drive 10: own 33 → Def. TD11Drive 11: own 25 → —13Drive 13: own 25 → End of half14Drive 14: own 19 → FG16Drive 16: own 28 → —18Drive 18: own 25 → Punt20Drive 20: opp 48 → Punt22Drive 22: own 25 → Turnover24Drive 24: own 42 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Virginia drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 24Q1 12:5452FG3.93-0.9
4own 15Q1 9:3756Punt1.50-1.5
6own 38Q1 5:40619Downs2.30-2.3
8own 5Q2 9:051176FG1.23+1.8
10own 33Q2 2:2355Def. TD(−7 opp)2.30-2.3
11own 25Q2 1:29413—1.90-1.9
13own 25Q2 0:3823End of half1.90-1.9
14own 19Q3 14:431163FG1.73+1.3
16own 28Q3 8:13926—2.00-2.0
18own 25Q3 3:36722Punt1.90-1.9
20opp 48Q4 14:0752Punt2.80-2.8
22own 25Q4 3:43243Turnover1.90-1.9
24own 42Q4 2:141253Downs2.60-2.6
13 drives6432728.09-19.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.