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Virginia34atDuke17

2025 · Week 12

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-8.9-4.50+4.5+8.9Virginia — Off. field pos.: +6.7+6.7Duke — Off. field pos.: +4.1+4.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Off. scoring eff.: +2.5+2.5Duke — Off. scoring eff.: -7.8-7.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Def. field pos.: -4.1-4.1Duke — Def. field pos.: -6.7-6.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Def. scoring eff.: +7.8+7.8Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -2.5-2.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Possessions: +4.1+4.1Duke — Possessions: -4.1-4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
VirginiaDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01937Q1Q2Q3FinalVirginia 34Duke 17
VirginiaDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

VirginiaDuke
Total yards540255
Rushing yards22442
Rushing attempts4223
Yds / rush5.31.8
Passing yards316213
Passing attempts3535
Yds / pass9.06.1
First downs2211
Turnovers21
Penalties73
Penalty yards6045
Sacks40
Time of possession35:5824:02

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Virginia
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(25)60% / 40%36%5.1
Q2(21)48% / 52%48%8.6
Q3(16)31% / 69%50%12.0
Q4(16)31% / 69%38%3.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 62nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.638%5.2
2nd(9)11.933%11.9
3rd(12)9.358%12.6
4th(1)3.0100%3.0
All (35)—46%9.3
Rushing by down(offense 56th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.733%2.8
2nd(16)6.425%3.3
3rd(8)5.488%17.5
4th(1)1.00%-2.0
All (43)—40%5.6
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)78% / 22%0%1.8
Q2(13)46% / 54%38%2.6
Q3(13)62% / 38%23%4.4
Q4(20)75% / 25%45%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.031%3.3
2nd(13)9.131%3.9
3rd(7)5.70%1.4
4th(3)1.767%15.3
All (36)—28%4.2
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)9.129%2.1
2nd(6)6.733%5.7
3rd(6)4.850%2.3
All (19)—37%3.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 16 → Punt4Drive 4: own 13 → Punt6Drive 6: own 12 → Punt8Drive 8: own 35 → FG10Drive 10: own 25 → Punt12Drive 12: own 19 → Punt14Drive 14: own 14 → Def. TD16Drive 16: own 25 → Punt18Drive 18: own 28 → TD21Drive 21: own 25 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 16Q1 8:0249Punt1.60-1.6
4own 13Q1 4:1341Punt1.50-1.5
6own 12Q1 1:4346Punt1.50-1.5
8own 35Q2 11:131228FG2.33+0.7
10own 25Q2 1:3346Punt1.90-1.9
12own 19Q3 14:48620Punt1.70-1.7
14own 14Q3 6:32830Def. TD(−7 opp)1.50-1.5
16own 25Q3 2:2047Punt1.90-1.9
18own 28Q4 13:591272TD2.07+5.0
21own 25Q4 5:35834Downs1.90-1.9
10 drives5825517.817-0.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.