FanBoardHQ
Sign in
FootballBasketball

North Carolina12atWake Forest28

2025 · Week 12

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-13.3-6.70+6.7+13.3North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +0.9+0.9Wake Forest — Off. field pos.: -1.5-1.5Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: -11.6-11.6Wake Forest — Off. scoring eff.: +8.8+8.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: +1.5+1.5Wake Forest — Def. field pos.: -0.9-0.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: -8.8-8.8Wake Forest — Def. scoring eff.: +11.6+11.6Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Wake Forest — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaWake ForestBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01631Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 12Wake Forest 28
North CarolinaWake Foresthover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaWake Forest
Total yards257414
Rushing yards56223
Rushing attempts2439
Yds / rush2.35.7
Passing yards201191
Passing attempts3725
Yds / pass5.47.6
First downs1619
Turnovers01
Penalties43
Penalty yards4540
Sacks22
Time of possession30:0229:58

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)60% / 40%53%4.9
Q2(18)56% / 44%50%7.3
Q3(20)60% / 40%40%4.5
Q4(9)100% / 0%33%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 84th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)11.157%10.6
2nd(14)6.750%5.6
3rd(11)7.827%3.0
4th(1)2.0100%4.0
All (40)—48%6.6
Rushing by down(offense 126th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.050%4.8
2nd(7)4.629%1.1
3rd(3)1.733%0.3
All (22)—41%3.0
Wake Forest
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)43% / 57%36%7.5
Q2(17)59% / 41%65%4.7
Q3(10)60% / 40%50%10.9
Q4(21)19% / 81%29%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 121st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.056%5.6
2nd(8)8.050%11.3
3rd(8)8.125%6.1
4th(1)2.00%-9.0
All (26)—42%6.9
Rushing by down(offense 61st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.820%3.4
2nd(14)6.650%9.0
3rd(5)3.680%8.2
4th(2)1.5100%1.5
All (36)—44%6.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 14 → Punt5Drive 5: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 11 → Turnover9Drive 9: own 21 → TD12Drive 12: own 33 → Downs14Drive 14: own 25 → TD16Drive 16: own 27 → Punt18Drive 18: own 22 → Punt20Drive 20: own 45 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Wake Forest drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:55666TD1.97+5.1
3own 14Q1 10:471139Punt1.50-1.5
5own 25Q2 12:5240Punt1.90-1.9
7own 11Q2 10:43316Turnover1.40-1.4
9own 21Q2 7:211564TD1.77+5.3
12own 33Q3 13:06934Downs2.30-2.3
14own 25Q3 6:41375TD1.97+5.1
16own 27Q4 14:55822Punt2.00-2.0
18own 22Q4 10:53930Punt1.80-1.8
20own 45Q4 5:161155TD2.77+4.3
10 drives6641419.228+8.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.