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Duke32atNorth Carolina25

2025 · Week 13

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-12.1-6.10+6.1+12.1Duke — Off. field pos.: +2.9+2.9North Carolina — Off. field pos.: -1.8-1.8Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +10.5+10.5North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: +10.3+10.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. field pos.: +1.8+1.8North Carolina — Def. field pos.: -2.9-2.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -10.3-10.3North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: -10.5-10.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Possessions: +2.1+2.1North Carolina — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
DukeNorth CarolinaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01835Q1Q2Q3FinalDuke 32North Carolina 25
DukeNorth Carolinahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

DukeNorth Carolina
Total yards352305
Rushing yards177101
Rushing attempts4325
Yds / rush4.14.0
Passing yards175204
Passing attempts3327
Yds / pass5.37.6
First downs2418
Turnovers00
Penalties312
Penalty yards27103
Sacks31
Time of possession36:0024:00

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)29% / 71%50%5.7
Q2(23)57% / 43%39%4.5
Q3(16)25% / 75%38%4.2
Q4(24)54% / 46%42%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.445%3.8
2nd(12)8.133%3.6
3rd(8)7.538%6.9
4th(3)3.767%8.0
All (34)—41%4.8
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)8.330%1.9
2nd(13)6.446%4.8
3rd(7)7.943%5.9
4th(3)3.7100%15.0
All (43)—42%4.3
North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)50% / 50%44%4.8
Q2(10)50% / 50%30%5.5
Q3(15)73% / 27%80%9.1
Q4(11)55% / 45%45%3.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 84th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.875%9.3
2nd(5)5.220%-1.6
3rd(12)6.458%6.8
4th(1)13.00%0.0
All (30)—57%6.2
Rushing by down(offense 126th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.867%7.8
2nd(9)6.911%2.8
3rd(1)1.0100%1.0
All (22)—45%5.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 25 → Punt5Drive 5: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 25 → FG10Drive 10: own 25 → TD12Drive 12: own 9 → TD14Drive 14: own 38 → Punt16Drive 16: own 8 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
North Carolina drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:451475TD1.97+5.1
3own 25Q1 2:4851Punt1.90-1.9
5own 25Q2 10:1946Punt1.90-1.9
7own 25Q2 2:241249FG1.93+1.1
10own 25Q3 9:021290TD1.98+6.1
12own 9Q3 2:341091TD1.47+5.6
14own 38Q4 8:445-13Punt2.30-2.3
16own 8Q4 1:5486Downs1.40-1.4
8 drives5330514.725+10.3

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.