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Wake Forest32atDuke49

2025 · Week 14

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-16.8-8.40+8.4+16.8Wake Forest — Off. field pos.: -1.9-1.9Duke — Off. field pos.: +7.6+7.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Off. scoring eff.: +9.2+9.2Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +14.6+14.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Def. field pos.: -7.6-7.6Duke — Def. field pos.: +1.9+1.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Def. scoring eff.: -14.6-14.6Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -9.2-9.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Duke — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Wake ForestDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02754Q1Q2Q3FinalWake Forest 32Duke 49
Wake ForestDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Wake ForestDuke
Total yards466378
Rushing yards124110
Rushing attempts3239
Yds / rush3.92.8
Passing yards342268
Passing attempts4335
Yds / pass8.07.7
First downs2724
Turnovers40
Penalties85
Penalty yards9750
Sacks22
Time of possession25:2134:39

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Wake Forest
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)44% / 56%33%5.1
Q2(25)60% / 40%44%7.6
Q3(21)57% / 43%38%5.2
Q4(16)75% / 25%56%8.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 121st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)10.443%6.9
2nd(13)9.531%7.2
3rd(8)7.363%9.6
4th(1)3.0100%13.0
All (43)—44%7.7
Rushing by down(offense 61st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)9.323%2.7
2nd(10)8.080%10.3
3rd(4)6.025%3.5
4th(1)1.00%-2.0
All (28)—43%5.4
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%56%5.1
Q2(18)61% / 39%33%4.6
Q3(13)62% / 38%62%5.5
Q4(25)40% / 60%28%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.436%4.1
2nd(11)8.545%10.5
3rd(8)6.350%5.6
4th(4)4.350%9.3
All (37)—43%6.9
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.639%2.6
2nd(13)7.546%3.2
3rd(5)8.020%2.4
4th(1)8.0100%26.0
All (37)—41%3.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 25 → TD5Drive 5: own 29 → Punt7Drive 7: own 16 → Punt9Drive 9: opp 34 → TD11Drive 11: own 25 → End of half13Drive 13: own 48 → Punt15Drive 15: opp 35 → TD17Drive 17: own 34 → TD19Drive 19: opp 13 → TD21Drive 21: own 25 → Downs23Drive 23: own 18 → Downs25Drive 25: opp 11 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:00945TD1.97+5.1
3own 25Q1 5:541247TD1.97+5.1
5own 29Q2 11:454-8Punt2.10-2.1
7own 16Q2 8:1258Punt1.60-1.6
9opp 34Q2 3:52934TD3.67+3.4
11own 25Q2 0:21649End of half1.90-1.9
13own 48Q3 13:014-4Punt2.70-2.7
15opp 35Q3 10:08235TD3.67+3.4
17own 34Q3 7:571040TD2.37+4.7
19opp 13Q4 14:42213TD4.67+2.4
21own 25Q4 11:07835Downs1.90-1.9
23own 18Q4 6:331277Downs1.60-1.6
25opp 11Q4 1:58611TD4.77+2.3
13 drives7637834.449+14.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.