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Northwestern State0atCincinnati70

2025 · Week 3

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-45.8-22.90+22.9+45.8Northwestern State — Off. field pos.: -3.5-3.5Cincinnati — Off. field pos.: +5.4+5.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern State — Off. scoring eff.: -23.4-23.4Cincinnati — Off. scoring eff.: +39.8+39.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern State — Def. field pos.: -5.4-5.4Cincinnati — Def. field pos.: +3.5+3.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern State — Def. scoring eff.: -39.8-39.8Cincinnati — Def. scoring eff.: +23.4+23.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern State — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Cincinnati — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Northwestern StateCincinnatiBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

03977Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthwestern State 0Cincinnati 70
Northwestern StateCincinnatihover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Northwestern StateCincinnati
Total yards102605
Rushing yards69243
Rushing attempts3526
Yds / rush2.09.3
Passing yards33362
Passing attempts1623
Yds / pass2.115.7
First downs626
Turnovers10
Penalties56
Penalty yards4265
Sacks01
Time of possession39:1520:45

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northwestern State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)43% / 57%29%1.9
Q2(14)43% / 57%7%1.4
Q3(9)0% / 100%11%2.7
Q4(10)30% / 70%20%2.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(5)10.040%0.4
2nd(5)8.220%2.6
3rd(5)10.60%1.3
All (15)—20%1.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.414%2.4
2nd(11)7.818%3.0
3rd(5)5.20%0.8
4th(2)1.050%1.0
All (32)—16%2.3
Cincinnati
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)57% / 43%86%16.6
Q2(20)55% / 45%65%10.3
Q3(7)29% / 71%100%10.0
Q4(8)25% / 75%63%10.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 32nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)11.492%19.6
2nd(8)4.675%8.1
3rd(2)6.050%21.0
All (23)—83%15.7
Rushing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)8.974%9.7
2nd(5)4.660%8.4
3rd(2)3.050%3.5
All (26)—69%9.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 35 → TD3Drive 3: own 45 → TD5Drive 5: opp 42 → TD7Drive 7: opp 45 → TD9Drive 9: opp 30 → TD11Drive 11: own 20 → TD13Drive 13: own 33 → TD15Drive 15: own 46 → Punt17Drive 17: own 47 → TD20Drive 20: own 30 → TD22Drive 22: own 31 → TD24Drive 24: own 28 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Cincinnati drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 35Q1 14:54660TD2.37+4.7
3own 45Q1 11:18155TD2.77+4.3
5opp 42Q1 8:44542TD2.97+4.1
7opp 45Q1 5:15445TD2.97+4.1
9opp 30Q1 3:08230TD3.77+3.3
11own 20Q2 13:12880TD1.77+5.3
13own 33Q2 7:57772TD2.37+4.7
15own 46Q2 3:4752Punt2.70-2.7
17own 47Q2 0:46453TD2.77+4.3
20own 30Q3 7:38770TD2.27+4.8
22own 31Q4 7:34679TD2.27+4.8
24own 28Q4 3:2557Punt2.00-2.0
12 drives5060530.270+39.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Northwestern State at Cincinnati — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ