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Arizona State27atBaylor24

2025 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-4.2-2.10+2.1+4.2Arizona State — Off. field pos.: +1.1+1.1Baylor — Off. field pos.: -0.3-0.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Off. scoring eff.: +3.2+3.2Baylor — Off. scoring eff.: +3.6+3.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Def. field pos.: +0.3+0.3Baylor — Def. field pos.: -1.1-1.1Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Def. scoring eff.: -3.6-3.6Baylor — Def. scoring eff.: -3.2-3.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Baylor — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Arizona StateBaylorBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalArizona State 27Baylor 24
Arizona StateBaylorhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Arizona StateBaylor
Total yards401357
Rushing yards180107
Rushing attempts4723
Yds / rush3.84.7
Passing yards221250
Passing attempts3239
Yds / pass6.96.4
First downs2618
Turnovers03
Penalties77
Penalty yards7086
Sacks21
Time of possession36:2423:36

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Arizona State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)33% / 67%33%3.7
Q2(17)41% / 59%35%4.5
Q3(23)48% / 52%52%5.9
Q4(19)37% / 63%42%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 85th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.050%5.8
2nd(12)10.033%6.3
3rd(10)8.130%7.1
4th(1)3.0100%4.0
All (31)—39%6.4
Rushing by down(offense 77th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(25)9.940%5.0
2nd(14)6.150%3.6
3rd(6)6.250%3.2
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (46)—43%4.2
Baylor
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)67% / 33%53%5.3
Q2(18)72% / 28%33%4.9
Q3(9)56% / 44%56%3.9
Q4(18)61% / 39%44%7.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 28th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.533%4.4
2nd(16)9.450%6.3
3rd(6)10.033%7.2
4th(2)2.050%8.0
All (39)—41%5.8
Rushing by down(offense 38th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)9.120%2.0
2nd(4)4.5100%4.3
3rd(6)4.067%6.3
4th(1)1.0100%41.0
All (21)—52%5.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → —3Drive 3: own 13 → FG5Drive 5: own 45 → Downs7Drive 7: own 42 → TD9Drive 9: own 35 → Punt12Drive 12: own 15 → —14Drive 14: own 29 → Punt16Drive 16: own 16 → Turnover18Drive 18: own 25 → TD20Drive 20: own 36 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Baylor drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:44314—1.90-1.9
3own 13Q1 8:081151FG1.53+1.5
5own 45Q1 0:381038Downs2.70-2.7
7own 42Q2 6:081043TD2.67+4.4
9own 35Q2 1:32822Punt2.30-2.3
12own 15Q3 12:32317—1.50-1.5
14own 29Q3 7:4540Punt2.10-2.1
16own 16Q3 1:31514Turnover1.60-1.6
18own 25Q4 13:281175TD1.97+5.1
20own 36Q4 5:00864TD2.37+4.7
10 drives6335720.424+3.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.