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Cincinnati23atTCU45

2025 · Week 14

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-15.4-7.70+7.7+15.4Cincinnati — Off. field pos.: -2.8-2.8TCU — Off. field pos.: +8.9+8.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Cincinnati — Off. scoring eff.: +5.1+5.1TCU — Off. scoring eff.: +13.4+13.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Cincinnati — Def. field pos.: -8.9-8.9TCU — Def. field pos.: +2.8+2.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Cincinnati — Def. scoring eff.: -13.4-13.4TCU — Def. scoring eff.: -5.1-5.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Cincinnati — Possessions: -2.1-2.1TCU — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
CincinnatiTCUBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalCincinnati 23TCU 45
CincinnatiTCUhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

CincinnatiTCU
Total yards397544
Rushing yards115238
Rushing attempts1952
Yds / rush6.14.6
Passing yards282306
Passing attempts3322
Yds / pass8.513.9
First downs1727
Turnovers10
Penalties56
Penalty yards4045
Sacks23
Time of possession22:0537:55

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Cincinnati
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)56% / 44%44%7.1
Q2(15)73% / 27%60%9.7
Q3(12)83% / 17%25%4.3
Q4(9)67% / 33%44%9.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 32nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.360%12.5
2nd(14)7.936%4.1
3rd(6)9.017%4.3
4th(1)5.00%0.0
All (36)—42%7.5
Rushing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)11.144%6.0
2nd(3)5.367%17.3
3rd(3)6.767%7.0
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (16)—50%7.9
TCU
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)50% / 50%56%11.9
Q2(21)33% / 67%52%5.3
Q3(18)28% / 72%50%4.3
Q4(18)17% / 83%44%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 22nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.060%8.0
2nd(6)7.867%5.3
3rd(7)5.657%19.6
All (23)—61%10.8
Rushing by down(offense 66th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)9.343%6.3
2nd(18)5.750%4.0
3rd(6)4.717%2.5
4th(3)1.0100%6.7
All (50)—46%5.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 34 → TD4Drive 4: own 19 → TD6Drive 6: own 25 → TD8Drive 8: own 25 → Punt9Drive 9: opp 33 → FG11Drive 11: own 25 → TD13Drive 13: own 25 → TD15Drive 15: own 49 → Punt17Drive 17: own 25 → Punt19Drive 19: own 25 → —21Drive 21: own 40 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCU drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 34Q1 13:03834TD3.67+3.4
4own 19Q1 7:49581TD1.77+5.3
6own 25Q1 1:47375TD1.97+5.1
8own 25Q2 11:1645Punt1.90-1.9
9opp 33Q2 10:051132FG3.73-0.7
11own 25Q2 3:061175TD1.97+5.1
13own 25Q3 14:44931TD1.97+5.1
15own 49Q3 9:1746Punt2.70-2.7
17own 25Q3 5:101141Punt1.90-1.9
19own 25Q4 12:39575—1.91-0.9
21own 40Q4 8:331545End of half2.50-2.5
11 drives7754425.645+19.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.