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Western Kentucky21atToledo45

2025 · Week 2

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-17.5-8.70+8.7+17.5Western Kentucky — Off. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Toledo — Off. field pos.: +5.0+5.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: -5.3-5.3Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +15.2+15.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Def. field pos.: -5.0-5.0Toledo — Def. field pos.: +0.6+0.6Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: -15.2-15.2Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +5.3+5.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Toledo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Western KentuckyToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalWestern Kentucky 21Toledo 45
Western KentuckyToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Western KentuckyToledo
Total yards333508
Rushing yards59307
Rushing attempts2842
Yds / rush2.17.3
Passing yards274201
Passing attempts3921
Yds / pass7.09.6
First downs1821
Turnovers21
Penalties49
Penalty yards4578
Sacks02
Time of possession26:3533:25

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Western Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)78% / 22%28%4.8
Q2(19)68% / 32%32%3.6
Q3(13)69% / 31%23%6.5
Q4(17)29% / 71%71%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 99th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.941%9.6
2nd(10)7.440%6.4
3rd(11)6.736%1.8
4th(3)3.30%0.0
All (41)—37%6.1
Rushing by down(offense 80th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.333%2.6
2nd(11)7.536%3.6
3rd(3)1.3100%3.7
All (26)—42%3.2
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)28% / 72%61%6.9
Q2(21)52% / 48%43%9.0
Q3(16)31% / 69%44%10.4
Q4(8)0% / 100%25%3.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)11.733%14.7
2nd(7)8.471%12.7
3rd(7)5.743%3.4
4th(1)7.00%0.0
All (21)—48%9.6
Rushing by down(offense 65th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)9.752%9.0
2nd(14)7.736%4.1
3rd(5)7.640%8.6
All (42)—45%7.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 34 → TD5Drive 5: own 20 → Punt7Drive 7: own 25 → TD9Drive 9: own 29 → FG11Drive 11: own 2 → Punt13Drive 13: own 13 → TD15Drive 15: own 35 → End of half16Drive 16: own 25 → TD18Drive 18: own 40 → TD20Drive 20: own 8 → Punt22Drive 22: own 2 → Punt24Drive 24: own 19 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 34Q1 14:15419TD3.67+3.4
5own 20Q1 10:3645Punt1.70-1.7
7own 25Q1 6:40975TD1.97+5.1
9own 29Q1 1:341257FG2.13+0.9
11own 2Q2 8:131049Punt1.10-1.1
13own 13Q2 1:46287TD1.57+5.5
15own 35Q2 0:39821End of half2.30-2.3
16own 25Q3 14:49175TD1.97+5.1
18own 40Q3 11:511375TD2.57+4.5
20own 8Q3 3:39717Punt1.40-1.4
22own 2Q4 12:5946Punt1.10-1.1
24own 19Q4 6:11822Punt1.70-1.7
12 drives6550822.845+22.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Western Kentucky at Toledo — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ