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Western Kentucky27atMissouri State22

2025 · Week 5

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-5.5-2.70+2.7+5.5Western Kentucky — Off. field pos.: -2.6-2.6Missouri State — Off. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: +4.8+4.8Missouri State — Off. scoring eff.: -2.2-2.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Def. field pos.: +0.6+0.6Missouri State — Def. field pos.: +2.6+2.6Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: +2.2+2.2Missouri State — Def. scoring eff.: -4.8-4.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Possessions: 0.00.0Missouri State — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Western KentuckyMissouri StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalWestern Kentucky 27Missouri State 22
Western KentuckyMissouri Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Western KentuckyMissouri State
Total yards476414
Rushing yards159214
Rushing attempts2934
Yds / rush5.56.3
Passing yards317200
Passing attempts3932
Yds / pass8.16.3
First downs2521
Turnovers00
Penalties98
Penalty yards9470
Sacks12
Time of possession31:2828:32

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Western Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)73% / 27%47%5.7
Q2(20)70% / 30%35%8.0
Q3(16)63% / 38%81%7.8
Q4(17)35% / 65%53%7.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 99th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.073%11.3
2nd(14)7.636%7.4
3rd(11)8.736%4.1
4th(1)5.00%0.0
All (41)—49%7.8
Rushing by down(offense 80th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.361%6.4
2nd(8)6.163%7.3
3rd(1)1.00%-2.0
All (27)—59%6.4
Missouri State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)64% / 36%29%6.3
Q2(21)43% / 57%43%7.0
Q3(18)50% / 50%44%6.7
Q4(13)46% / 54%38%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.421%6.9
2nd(10)8.270%8.9
3rd(8)5.825%2.8
4th(1)4.00%0.0
All (33)—36%6.3
Rushing by down(offense 121st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.671%9.9
2nd(11)9.49%1.4
3rd(4)8.00%4.3
4th(1)1.0100%3.0
All (33)—42%6.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 14 → Punt4Drive 4: own 17 → Punt6Drive 6: own 20 → FG8Drive 8: own 25 → Punt10Drive 10: own 25 → FG12Drive 12: 50 → FG14Drive 14: own 47 → End of half15Drive 15: own 25 → TD17Drive 17: own 25 → Downs19Drive 19: own 23 → Punt21Drive 21: own 25 → Punt23Drive 23: own 48 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Missouri State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 14Q1 12:40628Punt1.50-1.5
4own 17Q1 7:45611Punt1.60-1.6
6own 20Q1 2:01849FG1.73+1.3
8own 25Q2 13:5647Punt1.90-1.9
10own 25Q2 8:431270FG1.93+1.1
1250Q2 2:11748FG2.73+0.3
14own 47Q2 0:27823End of half2.70-2.7
15own 25Q3 15:00775TD1.97+5.1
17own 25Q3 6:29840Downs1.90-1.9
19own 23Q3 1:1085Punt1.80-1.8
21own 25Q4 12:2143Punt1.90-1.9
23own 48Q4 8:431252TD2.76+3.3
12 drives6841424.222-2.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.