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Toledo13atWestern Michigan14

2025 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-21.9-10.90+10.9+21.9Toledo — Off. field pos.: +5.2+5.2Western Michigan — Off. field pos.: -1.6-1.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -19.0-19.0Western Michigan — Off. scoring eff.: -11.2-11.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: +1.6+1.6Western Michigan — Def. field pos.: -5.2-5.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +11.2+11.2Western Michigan — Def. scoring eff.: +19.0+19.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: 0.00.0Western Michigan — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoWestern MichiganBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

0816Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 13Western Michigan 14
ToledoWestern Michiganhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoWestern Michigan
Total yards280292
Rushing yards19191
Rushing attempts4236
Yds / rush4.52.5
Passing yards89201
Passing attempts3033
Yds / pass3.06.1
First downs1617
Turnovers23
Penalties52
Penalty yards4820
Sacks42
Time of possession29:4230:18

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%50%4.2
Q2(21)43% / 57%33%4.0
Q3(16)44% / 56%19%5.9
Q4(16)50% / 50%19%2.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.025%-0.3
2nd(8)8.538%3.6
3rd(13)8.623%3.4
4th(3)5.333%1.0
All (32)—28%2.2
Rushing by down(offense 65th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.037%8.1
2nd(15)9.127%3.2
3rd(5)8.440%2.6
All (39)—33%5.5
Western Michigan
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(11)36% / 64%36%3.5
Q2(18)67% / 33%39%4.2
Q3(15)53% / 47%33%5.1
Q4(24)50% / 50%46%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 119th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.041%5.3
2nd(7)8.329%2.0
3rd(10)8.430%4.2
4th(2)8.550%21.5
All (36)—36%5.2
Rushing by down(offense 52nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.650%3.8
2nd(16)6.938%2.9
3rd(3)7.067%5.3
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (32)—44%3.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 7 → Turnover5Drive 5: own 5 → Punt7Drive 7: own 8 → Downs10Drive 10: own 35 → —12Drive 12: own 25 → Punt14Drive 14: own 12 → —16Drive 16: own 25 → Punt18Drive 18: own 10 → TD20Drive 20: own 35 → Punt22Drive 22: own 17 → Downs24Drive 24: opp 48 → TD26Drive 26: opp 36 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Western Michigan drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:5288Punt1.90-1.9
3own 7Q1 5:24423Turnover1.40-1.4
5own 5Q1 1:15922Punt1.20-1.2
7own 8Q2 7:591265Downs1.40-1.4
10own 35Q2 0:183-7—2.30-2.3
12own 25Q3 14:2242Punt1.90-1.9
14own 12Q3 11:3934—1.50-1.5
16own 25Q3 7:354-7Punt1.90-1.9
18own 10Q3 4:24877TD1.46+4.6
20own 35Q4 14:34610Punt2.30-2.3
22own 17Q4 7:231547Downs1.60-1.6
24opp 48Q4 1:33848TD2.88+5.2
26opp 36Q4 0:002-1End of half3.50-3.5
13 drives7129225.214-11.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.