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Ball State7atNorthern Illinois21

2025 · Week 9

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-18.6-9.30+9.3+18.6Ball State — Off. field pos.: +0.4+0.4Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: +5.4+5.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Off. scoring eff.: -16.1-16.1Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -5.0-5.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Def. field pos.: -5.4-5.4Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -0.4-0.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Def. scoring eff.: +5.0+5.0Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +16.1+16.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Northern Illinois — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Ball StateNorthern IllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Box score

Ball StateNorthern Illinois
Total yards275370
Rushing yards139305
Rushing attempts4357
Yds / rush3.25.4
Passing yards13665
Passing attempts2311
Yds / pass5.95.9
First downs1517
Turnovers33
Penalties44
Penalty yards4035
Sacks14
Time of possession29:3030:30

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Ball State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)33% / 67%33%4.7
Q2(18)28% / 72%33%4.6
Q3(8)50% / 50%38%3.1
Q4(24)50% / 50%38%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 136th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.025%3.1
2nd(9)6.433%2.7
3rd(8)7.338%6.1
4th(1)15.0100%25.0
All (26)—35%4.7
Rushing by down(offense 135th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)8.735%3.0
2nd(15)8.333%5.3
3rd(7)8.343%5.0
All (39)—36%4.3
Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)31% / 69%50%7.1
Q2(17)12% / 88%35%4.3
Q3(22)18% / 82%59%4.9
Q4(7)0% / 100%14%3.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 137th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(2)7.50%0.0
2nd(5)7.660%5.4
3rd(3)5.733%5.7
4th(1)2.00%0.0
All (11)—36%4.0
Rushing by down(offense 129th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.050%4.2
2nd(16)6.325%2.5
3rd(12)4.367%11.5
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (51)—47%5.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 40 → TD4Drive 4: own 28 → Punt6Drive 6: 50 → Turnover8Drive 8: own 21 → Downs10Drive 10: own 28 → Turnover12Drive 12: own 18 → Punt14Drive 14: own 22 → TD16Drive 16: own 7 → End of half18Drive 18: own 29 → Punt20Drive 20: own 3 → Turnoverown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northern Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 40Q1 12:42360TD2.57+4.5
4own 28Q1 9:4848Punt2.00-2.0
650Q1 6:481046Turnover2.70-2.7
8own 21Q2 13:16721Downs1.70-1.7
10own 28Q2 6:56850Turnover2.00-2.0
12own 18Q2 1:2442Punt1.60-1.6
14own 22Q3 14:491788TD1.87+5.2
16own 7Q3 3:381020End of half1.40-1.4
18own 29Q4 12:1643Punt2.10-2.1
20own 3Q4 3:52618Turnover1.10-1.1
10 drives7237019.021+2.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.