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Buffalo28atBowling Green3

2025 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-27.4-13.70+13.7+27.4Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +12.7+12.7Bowling Green — Off. field pos.: -2.1-2.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -11.5-11.5Bowling Green — Off. scoring eff.: -23.8-23.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: +2.1+2.1Bowling Green — Def. field pos.: -12.7-12.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: +23.8+23.8Bowling Green — Def. scoring eff.: +11.5+11.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Bowling Green — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloBowling GreenBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01631Q1Q2Q3FinalBuffalo 28Bowling Green 3
BuffaloBowling Greenhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloBowling Green
Total yards282216
Rushing yards146116
Rushing attempts2744
Yds / rush5.42.6
Passing yards136100
Passing attempts2428
Yds / pass5.73.6
First downs1015
Turnovers12
Penalties41
Penalty yards3515
Sacks60
Time of possession26:0034:00

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(11)55% / 45%64%11.5
Q2(17)65% / 35%24%2.4
Q3(12)33% / 67%33%5.8
Q4(11)27% / 73%27%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 122nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.156%4.7
2nd(6)8.817%6.5
3rd(8)7.338%6.9
4th(1)3.00%0.0
All (24)—38%5.7
Rushing by down(offense 130th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)9.454%8.8
2nd(9)6.822%2.7
3rd(5)7.80%1.4
All (27)—33%5.4
Bowling Green
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)39% / 61%28%2.7
Q2(17)47% / 53%6%1.9
Q3(16)50% / 50%25%1.9
Q4(19)58% / 42%42%1.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 130th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.015%-3.3
2nd(9)8.933%4.2
3rd(11)8.227%2.3
4th(1)5.00%0.0
All (34)—24%0.7
Rushing by down(offense 131st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.014%2.1
2nd(14)8.643%5.7
3rd(5)2.820%2.0
4th(3)1.333%1.0
All (36)—28%3.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 48 → Downs4Drive 4: own 15 → Downs6Drive 6: own 25 → Downs8Drive 8: own 8 → Punt10Drive 10: own 20 → Punt12Drive 12: own 10 → Punt16Drive 16: own 25 → End of half17Drive 17: own 25 → Def. TD18Drive 18: own 37 → Punt20Drive 20: own 14 → Punt22Drive 22: own 20 → End of half24Drive 24: own 39 → FG26Drive 26: own 26 → Turnover28Drive 28: own 33 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Bowling Green drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 48Q1 13:3949Downs2.80-2.8
4own 15Q1 10:441440Downs1.50-1.5
6own 25Q2 14:39730Downs1.90-1.9
8own 8Q2 10:4347Punt1.40-1.4
10own 20Q2 6:0744Punt1.70-1.7
12own 10Q2 2:494-7Punt1.40-1.4
16own 25Q2 0:062-1End of half1.90-1.9
17own 25Q3 15:004-7Def. TD(−7 opp)1.90-1.9
18own 37Q3 13:11515Punt2.30-2.3
20own 14Q3 6:33720Punt1.50-1.5
22own 20Q3 0:4452End of half1.70-1.7
24own 39Q4 11:17928FG2.43+0.6
26own 26Q4 6:27322Turnover2.00-2.0
28own 33Q4 3:0710-5End of half2.30-2.3
14 drives7221626.83-23.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.