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Northern Illinois3atToledo42

2025 · Week 11

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-24.1-12.10+12.1+24.1Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: -2.9-2.9Toledo — Off. field pos.: +5.0+5.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -21.0-21.0Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +12.2+12.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -5.0-5.0Toledo — Def. field pos.: +2.9+2.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -12.2-12.2Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +21.0+21.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Toledo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Northern IllinoisToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02346Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthern Illinois 3Toledo 42
Northern IllinoisToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Northern IllinoisToledo
Total yards203443
Rushing yards62134
Rushing attempts3629
Yds / rush1.74.6
Passing yards141309
Passing attempts2933
Yds / pass4.99.4
First downs1323
Turnovers00
Penalties710
Penalty yards6092
Sacks04
Time of possession29:4230:18

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)41% / 59%18%3.0
Q2(13)46% / 54%23%2.1
Q3(15)40% / 60%27%3.5
Q4(20)70% / 30%25%3.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 137th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.027%4.6
2nd(10)9.920%2.3
3rd(11)9.59%3.6
4th(1)6.00%0.0
All (33)—18%3.5
Rushing by down(offense 129th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.029%2.5
2nd(11)9.018%4.2
3rd(5)5.420%1.0
4th(2)1.0100%1.5
All (32)—28%2.8
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)50% / 50%30%4.0
Q2(24)71% / 29%67%8.7
Q3(15)47% / 53%60%7.9
Q4(13)31% / 69%38%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.060%7.6
2nd(13)9.462%9.2
3rd(10)5.160%11.3
All (33)—61%9.4
Rushing by down(offense 65th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.144%4.2
2nd(7)7.129%3.6
3rd(4)2.875%8.5
All (29)—45%4.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

3Drive 3: own 12 → Punt5Drive 5: own 37 → Punt7Drive 7: opp 44 → TD9Drive 9: own 32 → TD11Drive 11: own 8 → TD14Drive 14: own 26 → Punt17Drive 17: own 37 → TD19Drive 19: own 24 → TD21Drive 21: own 37 → Punt23Drive 23: own 42 → Missed FG25Drive 25: own 8 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2—Q1 14:4510——0—
3own 12Q1 9:131022Punt1.50-1.5
5own 37Q1 2:29518Punt2.30-2.3
7opp 44Q2 14:38744TD2.97+4.1
9own 32Q2 9:211188TD2.37+4.7
11own 8Q2 1:47977TD1.47+5.6
14own 26Q3 11:3046Punt2.00-2.0
17own 37Q3 8:28863TD2.37+4.7
19own 24Q3 2:391076TD1.97+5.1
21own 37Q4 12:1944Punt2.30-2.3
23own 42Q4 9:34935Missed FG2.60-2.6
25own 8Q4 0:25210End of half1.40-1.4
12 drives6644322.842+19.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.