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Buffalo19atCentral Michigan38

2025 · Week 12

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-15.1-7.50+7.5+15.1Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +3.2+3.2Central Michigan — Off. field pos.: +3.3+3.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -13.1-13.1Central Michigan — Off. scoring eff.: +7.8+7.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -3.3-3.3Central Michigan — Def. field pos.: -3.2-3.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: -7.8-7.8Central Michigan — Def. scoring eff.: +13.1+13.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Central Michigan — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloCentral MichiganBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalBuffalo 19Central Michigan 38
BuffaloCentral Michiganhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloCentral Michigan
Total yards398358
Rushing yards136111
Rushing attempts3434
Yds / rush4.03.3
Passing yards262247
Passing attempts4225
Yds / pass6.29.9
First downs1917
Turnovers52
Penalties63
Penalty yards5030
Sacks15
Time of possession28:5431:06

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)43% / 57%43%5.4
Q2(20)65% / 35%25%5.6
Q3(20)65% / 35%35%6.2
Q4(19)68% / 32%47%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 122nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.036%6.1
2nd(13)11.038%5.3
3rd(10)9.030%3.1
All (45)—36%5.3
Rushing by down(offense 130th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)9.922%2.4
2nd(11)7.836%8.5
3rd(7)6.471%6.0
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (28)—39%5.6
Central Michigan
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)50% / 50%75%4.3
Q2(17)53% / 47%41%5.3
Q3(8)50% / 50%63%17.6
Q4(17)35% / 65%41%3.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 72nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.471%13.5
2nd(7)7.343%6.5
3rd(4)8.350%7.5
All (25)—60%10.6
Rushing by down(offense 109th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.050%2.8
2nd(12)7.358%4.3
3rd(5)9.20%2.2
All (29)—45%3.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 26 → Turnover3Drive 3: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 2 → Punt9Drive 9: own 6 → Punt11Drive 11: own 43 → Punt13Drive 13: own 29 → TD16Drive 16: own 41 → FG18Drive 18: own 25 → TD20Drive 20: own 6 → Punt22Drive 22: own 15 → Turnover25Drive 25: opp 41 → TD27Drive 27: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Central Michigan drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 26Q1 14:43564Turnover2.00-2.0
3own 25Q1 11:341026Punt1.90-1.9
7own 2Q2 11:1049Punt1.10-1.1
9own 6Q2 8:0342Punt1.30-1.3
11own 43Q2 5:0448Punt2.70-2.7
13own 29Q2 2:041071TD2.17+4.9
16own 41Q3 13:06754FG2.53+0.5
18own 25Q3 4:18275TD1.97+5.1
20own 6Q3 1:16928Punt1.30-1.3
22own 15Q4 10:4812Turnover1.50-1.5
23—Q4 10:3810TD—7—
25opp 41Q4 9:33741TD3.07+4.0
27own 25Q4 1:5375End of half1.90-1.9
13 drives6435823.238+14.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.