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Ball State9atToledo38

2025 · Week 13

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-22.4-11.20+11.2+22.4Ball State — Off. field pos.: -0.5-0.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +10.5+10.5Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Off. scoring eff.: -19.4-19.4Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -3.5-3.5Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Def. field pos.: -10.5-10.5Toledo — Def. field pos.: +0.5+0.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Def. scoring eff.: +3.5+3.5Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +19.4+19.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ball State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Toledo — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Ball StateToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalBall State 9Toledo 38
Ball StateToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Ball StateToledo
Total yards335404
Rushing yards129186
Rushing attempts4730
Yds / rush2.76.2
Passing yards206218
Passing attempts3227
Yds / pass6.48.1
First downs1819
Turnovers32
Penalties49
Penalty yards3285
Sacks17
Time of possession37:0422:56

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Ball State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)56% / 44%6%-0.6
Q2(17)53% / 47%24%3.8
Q3(25)40% / 60%32%4.2
Q4(20)55% / 45%50%9.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 136th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.011%4.8
2nd(15)8.327%3.1
3rd(12)7.525%7.1
4th(3)3.733%1.0
All (39)—23%4.6
Rushing by down(offense 135th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)10.033%3.9
2nd(10)7.620%3.0
3rd(7)7.157%3.9
4th(1)4.0100%26.0
All (39)—36%4.2
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)38% / 63%56%7.3
Q2(22)55% / 45%45%6.1
Q3(6)67% / 33%50%11.5
Q4(13)46% / 54%46%7.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.055%5.6
2nd(10)10.130%6.1
3rd(7)13.043%15.7
All (28)—43%8.1
Rushing by down(offense 65th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.763%8.3
2nd(7)6.443%2.4
3rd(3)7.333%6.0
All (29)—55%6.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 16 → Punt3Drive 3: opp 17 → TD5Drive 5: own 48 → —7Drive 7: own 40 → Turnover9Drive 9: own 23 → Punt11Drive 11: opp 44 → Punt13Drive 13: own 27 → TD15Drive 15: own 32 → Turnover17Drive 17: 50 → FG19Drive 19: own 35 → TD21Drive 21: own 25 → Punt23Drive 23: own 16 → TD25Drive 25: opp 39 → Punt27Drive 27: own 17 → Punt29Drive 29: own 16 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 16Q1 14:5143Punt1.60-1.6
3opp 17Q1 11:12217TD4.07+3.0
5own 48Q1 8:56452—2.70-2.7
7own 40Q1 6:15325Turnover2.50-2.5
9own 23Q1 2:03730Punt1.80-1.8
11opp 44Q2 11:051423Punt2.90-2.9
13own 27Q2 3:08673TD2.07+5.0
15own 32Q2 1:22411Turnover2.30-2.3
1750Q2 0:12722FG2.73+0.3
19own 35Q3 11:09365TD2.37+4.7
21own 25Q3 3:3644Punt1.90-1.9
23own 16Q4 14:40684TD1.67+5.4
25opp 39Q4 9:2041Punt3.20-3.2
27own 17Q4 3:23714Punt1.60-1.6
29own 16Q4 0:122-1End of half1.60-1.6
15 drives6440434.538+3.5

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.