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Miami31atOle Miss27

2025 · CFP Semifinals · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-7.3-3.70+3.7+7.3Miami-FL — Off. field pos.: +3.0+3.0Ole Miss — Off. field pos.: -2.1-2.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Miami-FL — Off. scoring eff.: +5.3+5.3Ole Miss — Off. scoring eff.: +6.4+6.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Miami-FL — Def. field pos.: +2.1+2.1Ole Miss — Def. field pos.: -3.0-3.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Miami-FL — Def. scoring eff.: -6.4-6.4Ole Miss — Def. scoring eff.: -5.3-5.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Miami-FL — Possessions: 0.00.0Ole Miss — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Miami-FLOle MissBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01734Q1Q2Q3FinalMiami-FL 31Ole Miss 27
Miami-FLOle Misshover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Miami-FLOle Miss
Total yards459398
Rushing yards191121
Rushing attempts5121
Yds / rush3.75.8
Passing yards268277
Passing attempts3739
Yds / pass7.27.1
First downs2823
Turnovers10
Penalties104
Penalty yards7434
Sacks14
Time of possession41:2218:38

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Miami-FL
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)39% / 61%50%4.4
Q2(24)50% / 50%42%6.0
Q3(22)32% / 68%32%5.0
Q4(23)65% / 35%48%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 12th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.420%1.3
2nd(16)8.150%8.4
3rd(10)8.070%8.3
All (41)—44%5.8
Rushing by down(offense 14th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)9.538%3.7
2nd(14)8.236%6.2
3rd(9)7.244%4.9
4th(2)2.0100%6.0
All (46)—41%4.8
Ole Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(7)57% / 43%0%-0.1
Q2(17)71% / 29%41%8.6
Q3(13)92% / 8%46%6.3
Q4(23)52% / 48%48%7.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 7th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)10.048%8.2
2nd(12)8.158%7.8
3rd(7)7.114%-0.3
All (40)—45%6.6
Rushing by down(offense 18th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)9.822%4.2
2nd(8)5.338%11.8
3rd(3)4.333%0.7
All (20)—30%6.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Safety3Drive 3: own 25 → Punt5Drive 5: own 20 → TD7Drive 7: own 25 → FG9Drive 9: own 25 → Punt11Drive 11: own 31 → FG14Drive 14: own 33 → Missed FG16Drive 16: own 14 → FG18Drive 18: own 10 → FG20Drive 20: own 25 → TD22Drive 22: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Ole Miss drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:494-7Safety(−3 opp)1.90-1.9
3own 25Q1 6:1244Punt1.90-1.9
5own 20Q1 0:18475TD1.77+5.3
7own 25Q2 7:00836FG1.93+1.1
9own 25Q2 2:0158Punt1.90-1.9
11own 31Q2 0:46829FG2.23+0.8
14own 33Q3 11:46633Missed FG2.30-2.3
16own 14Q3 3:07949FG1.53+1.5
18own 10Q4 12:111463FG1.43+1.6
20own 25Q4 4:58768TD1.98+6.1
22own 25Q4 0:13640End of half1.90-1.9
11 drives6439820.627+6.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.