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Western Kentucky27atSouthern Miss16

2025 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-15.7-7.90+7.9+15.7Western Kentucky — Off. field pos.: +4.2+4.2Southern Miss — Off. field pos.: -1.3-1.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: -8.1-8.1Southern Miss — Off. scoring eff.: -13.7-13.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Def. field pos.: +1.3+1.3Southern Miss — Def. field pos.: -4.2-4.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: +13.7+13.7Southern Miss — Def. scoring eff.: +8.1+8.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Kentucky — Possessions: 0.00.0Southern Miss — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Western KentuckySouthern MissBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalWestern Kentucky 27Southern Miss 16
Western KentuckySouthern Misshover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Western KentuckySouthern Miss
Total yards422377
Rushing yards155119
Rushing attempts3336
Yds / rush4.73.3
Passing yards267258
Passing attempts4048
Yds / pass6.75.4
First downs1821
Turnovers31
Penalties812
Penalty yards74100
Sacks33
Time of possession31:2428:36

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Western Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)65% / 35%18%1.7
Q2(18)72% / 28%22%3.1
Q3(15)60% / 40%40%7.1
Q4(23)43% / 57%43%7.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 99th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.313%0.8
2nd(16)11.325%5.9
3rd(12)8.750%8.0
All (43)—28%4.6
Rushing by down(offense 80th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.420%4.9
2nd(10)9.050%6.2
3rd(5)9.060%6.6
All (30)—37%5.6
Southern Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(22)59% / 41%36%5.7
Q2(29)59% / 41%38%5.1
Q3(19)58% / 42%21%3.1
Q4(15)73% / 27%40%3.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 102nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.528%2.3
2nd(19)9.137%6.7
3rd(14)7.936%3.6
4th(1)5.0100%9.0
All (52)—35%4.4
Rushing by down(offense 123rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.329%4.5
2nd(8)10.550%6.8
3rd(6)6.533%7.2
4th(2)2.00%-5.0
All (33)—33%4.9

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 15 → Downs4Drive 4: own 25 → TD6Drive 6: own 38 → —8Drive 8: own 13 → Punt10Drive 10: own 25 → Punt12Drive 12: own 22 → TD14Drive 14: opp 23 → Missed FG16Drive 16: own 12 → FG17Drive 17: own 25 → Punt19Drive 19: own 20 → Punt21Drive 21: own 25 → —23Drive 23: own 33 → Missed FG25Drive 25: own 12 → Punt27Drive 27: own 30 → Punt29Drive 29: own 25 → Turnoverown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Southern Miss drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 15Q1 13:294-3Downs1.50-1.5
4own 25Q1 11:321450TD1.97+5.1
6own 38Q1 5:11462—2.30-2.3
8own 13Q1 0:406-4Punt1.50-1.5
10own 25Q2 11:0159Punt1.90-1.9
12own 22Q2 8:021145TD1.86+4.2
14opp 23Q2 5:08831Missed FG3.90-3.9
16own 12Q2 1:021382FG1.53+1.5
17own 25Q3 15:0048Punt1.90-1.9
19own 20Q3 13:07812Punt1.70-1.7
21own 25Q3 6:3849—1.90-1.9
23own 33Q3 4:44929Missed FG2.30-2.3
25own 12Q4 14:0045Punt1.50-1.5
27own 30Q4 7:34517Punt2.20-2.2
29own 25Q4 3:251161Turnover1.90-1.9
15 drives8737729.716-13.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.