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Arizona State39atDuke42

2025 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-11.6-5.80+5.8+11.6Arizona State — Off. field pos.: +0.0+0.0Duke — Off. field pos.: +2.3+2.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Off. scoring eff.: +10.0+10.0Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +8.8+8.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Def. field pos.: -2.3-2.3Duke — Def. field pos.: -0.0-0.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Def. scoring eff.: -8.8-8.8Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -10.0-10.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arizona State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Duke — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Arizona StateDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02346Q1Q2Q3FinalArizona State 39Duke 42
Arizona StateDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Arizona StateDuke
Total yards619539
Rushing yards244212
Rushing attempts3736
Yds / rush6.65.9
Passing yards375327
Passing attempts3851
Yds / pass9.96.4
First downs2224
Turnovers31
Penalties36
Penalty yards3360
Sacks20
Time of possession26:3333:27

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Arizona State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(29)55% / 45%45%7.6
Q2(22)32% / 68%36%5.9
Q3(11)45% / 55%45%8.2
Q4(16)69% / 31%50%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 85th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.941%6.8
2nd(15)7.567%10.6
3rd(3)10.067%22.0
4th(4)4.825%4.5
All (39)51%9.2
Rushing by down(offense 77th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.337%3.6
2nd(11)7.155%9.8
3rd(8)5.113%1.5
4th(1)2.00%1.0
All (39)36%4.9
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)64% / 36%43%9.9
Q2(26)65% / 35%58%5.3
Q3(21)48% / 52%52%5.7
Q4(26)69% / 31%42%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.478%5.4
2nd(16)6.919%1.9
3rd(16)6.638%10.6
4th(4)6.050%5.8
All (54)46%6.0
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.850%4.6
2nd(13)4.562%10.8
3rd(1)1.00%-2.0
4th(1)1.0100%4.0
All (33)55%6.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → TD5Drive 5: opp 49 → TD7Drive 7: own 25 → Punt9Drive 9: own 14 → Punt11Drive 11: own 40 → TD13Drive 13: opp 44 → TD15Drive 15: own 25 → Turnover18Drive 18: own 8 → Punt20Drive 20: own 36 → TD22Drive 22: own 25 → Punt24Drive 24: own 25 → Downs26Drive 26: own 14 → Downs28Drive 28: opp 22 → TD30Drive 30: opp 41 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:0047Punt1.90-1.9
3own 25Q1 10:11475TD1.97+5.1
5opp 49Q1 7:26549TD2.87+4.2
7own 25Q1 5:0540Punt1.90-1.9
9own 14Q1 0:02721Punt1.50-1.5
11own 40Q2 11:281365TD2.57+4.5
13opp 44Q2 3:49729TD2.97+4.1
15own 25Q2 0:32529Turnover1.90-1.9
18own 8Q3 13:271038Punt1.40-1.4
20own 36Q3 8:26861TD2.37+4.7
22own 25Q3 4:09821Punt1.90-1.9
24own 25Q4 12:311238Downs1.90-1.9
26own 14Q4 5:591080Downs1.50-1.5
28opp 22Q4 2:42222TD4.07+3.0
30opp 41Q4 1:47810End of half3.00-3.0
15 drives8753933.242+8.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Arizona State at Duke — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ