North Dakota State
North Dakota State University · 2023 · MVFC
North Dakota State carried a +6.5 efficiency rating.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
No projection.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | Big Sky | — | W 35–10 | +23.2 | 100% | 7.3 | Q4 |
| 2 | vs Maine | Coastal Athletic | — | W 44–7 | +40.2 | 100% | -3.3 | Q4 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | UAC | — | W 49–31 | +20.2 | 100% | 18.4 | Q4 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | MVFC | — | L 19–24 | +14.6 | 0% | -14.1 | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Missouri State | MVFC | — | W 38–10 | +13.4 | 100% | 20.6 | Q4 |
| 7 | @ North Dakota | MVFC | — | L 24–49 | +13.3 | 0% | -34.7 | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Western Illinois | MVFC | — | W 52–7 | +50.4 | 100% | 6.7 | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Murray State | MVFC | — | W 38–6 | +36.0 | 100% | 5.8 | Q4 |
| 10 | @ South Dakota State | MVFC | — | L 16–33 | -14.1 | 0% | -0.6 | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Southern Illinois | MVFC | — | W 34–10 | +10.0 | 100% | 25.0 | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Northern Iowa | MVFC | — | W 48–27 | +14.9 | 100% | 17.7 | Q4 |
| Postseason | ||||||||
| — | vs Drake | Pioneer | — | W 66–3 | +44.7 | 100% | 8.3 | Q4 |
| — | @ Montana State | Big Sky | — | W 35–34 | -2.1 | 100% | 8.5 | Q4 |
| — | @ South Dakota | MVFC | — | W 45–17 | +9.1 | 100% | 29.2 | Q4 |
| — | @ Montana | Big Sky | — | L 29–31 | +4.2 | 0% | -0.5 | Q4 |
15 played · 11-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on North Dakota State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it. Preseason projection — this team hasn't played yet.