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Toledo52atNorthern Illinois32

2022 · Week 6

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-20.5-10.20+10.2+20.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +17.8+17.8Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: -0.9-0.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +14.1+14.1Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +6.7+6.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: +0.9+0.9Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -17.8-17.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: -6.7-6.7Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -14.1-14.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: -6.0-6.0Northern Illinois — Possessions: +6.0+6.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoNorthern IllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02957Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 52Northern Illinois 32
ToledoNorthern Illinoishover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoNorthern Illinois
Total yards349424
Rushing yards159140
Rushing attempts3641
Yds / rush4.43.4
Passing yards190284
Passing attempts2149
Yds / pass9.05.8
First downs2229
Turnovers04
Penalties55
Penalty yards2561
Sacks22
Time of possession21:5238:08

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)47% / 53%53%10.8
Q2(16)38% / 63%38%3.7
Q3(16)50% / 50%50%5.8
Q4(8)13% / 88%50%4.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 52nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.050%9.8
2nd(7)8.071%12.7
3rd(5)5.840%0.8
4th(1)2.0100%4.0
All (23)—57%8.5
Rushing by down(offense 88th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.535%5.6
2nd(12)7.050%4.9
3rd(4)5.525%5.5
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (34)—41%5.2
Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)24% / 76%53%5.0
Q2(24)75% / 25%46%4.3
Q3(16)56% / 44%38%5.2
Q4(31)65% / 35%55%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 91st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.047%4.8
2nd(19)9.158%6.2
3rd(12)8.250%4.0
4th(1)2.0100%11.0
All (51)—53%5.3
Rushing by down(offense 101st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)9.725%4.0
2nd(11)6.164%6.0
3rd(5)2.060%2.6
4th(1)1.0100%4.0
All (37)—43%4.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → Def. TD3Drive 3: own 31 → TD5Drive 5: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 26 → Punt9Drive 9: own 11 → Def. TD10Drive 10: own 23 → Turnover12Drive 12: own 25 → Turnover14Drive 14: own 5 → Punt16Drive 16: own 17 → Punt18Drive 18: own 25 → TD19Drive 19: 50 → FG20Drive 20: own 48 → TD22Drive 22: own 25 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northern Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 11:32227Def. TD(−7 opp)1.90-1.9
3own 31Q1 10:571264TD2.17+4.9
5own 25Q1 3:27614Punt1.90-1.9
7own 26Q2 13:361130Punt1.90-1.9
9own 11Q2 3:33320Def. TD(−7 opp)1.50-1.5
10own 23Q2 3:181769Turnover1.80-1.8
12own 25Q3 14:4931Turnover1.90-1.9
14own 5Q3 12:3249Punt1.30-1.3
16own 17Q3 6:4743Punt1.60-1.6
18own 25Q3 3:31975TD1.98+6.1
1950Q4 14:421127FG2.83+0.2
20own 48Q4 9:531152TD2.86+3.2
22own 25Q4 3:391375TD1.98+6.1
13 drives9242425.332+6.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.