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Toledo27atBuffalo34

2022 · Week 8

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-25.5-12.80+12.8+25.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +2.3+2.3Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +22.2+22.2Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -1.4-1.4Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -12.3-12.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: -22.2-22.2Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -2.3-2.3Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +12.3+12.3Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: +1.4+1.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: +2.0+2.0Buffalo — Possessions: -2.0-2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoBuffaloBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01937Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 27Buffalo 34
ToledoBuffalohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoBuffalo
Total yards438398
Rushing yards198153
Rushing attempts3838
Yds / rush5.24.0
Passing yards240245
Passing attempts4839
Yds / pass5.06.3
First downs2219
Turnovers61
Penalties54
Penalty yards3035
Sacks31
Time of possession28:5331:07

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%22%4.5
Q2(30)50% / 50%47%5.5
Q3(13)23% / 77%46%7.2
Q4(21)90% / 10%38%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 52nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.750%6.0
2nd(16)9.138%5.7
3rd(10)6.320%3.8
4th(5)2.460%5.4
All (45)—40%5.3
Rushing by down(offense 88th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.032%3.7
2nd(12)6.842%8.0
3rd(6)6.750%6.5
All (37)—38%5.5
Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)46% / 54%46%3.5
Q2(13)85% / 15%38%5.0
Q3(18)44% / 56%39%7.0
Q4(23)43% / 57%57%7.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.959%9.1
2nd(11)7.455%5.3
3rd(5)8.820%3.4
4th(2)3.50%0.0
All (35)—49%6.5
Rushing by down(offense 98th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.425%2.5
2nd(13)6.254%9.3
3rd(7)3.957%4.7
All (32)—44%5.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 20 → —4Drive 4: own 26 → —6Drive 6: own 25 → —8Drive 8: own 19 → Downs10Drive 10: own 15 → —12Drive 12: own 27 → —14Drive 14: opp 43 → Downs16Drive 16: own 36 → TD18Drive 18: opp 32 → —20Drive 20: opp 43 → TD22Drive 22: opp 46 → Turnover24Drive 24: opp 39 → FGown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Buffalo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 20Q1 12:031042—1.70-1.7
4own 26Q1 2:1043—1.90-1.9
6own 25Q2 8:17517—1.90-1.9
8own 19Q2 1:341148Downs1.70-1.7
10own 15Q3 14:54768—1.60-1.6
12own 27Q3 6:03830—2.00-2.0
14opp 43Q3 2:0210Downs3.10-3.1
16own 36Q3 0:3415112TD2.47+4.6
18opp 32Q4 9:35232—3.60-3.6
20opp 43Q4 9:26543TD3.17+3.9
22opp 46Q4 5:3633Turnover2.90-2.9
24opp 39Q4 3:141115FG3.43-0.4
12 drives7839829.334+4.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.