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Buffalo17atWisconsin38

2023 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-16.9-8.40+8.4+16.9Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +2.7+2.7Wisconsin — Off. field pos.: +1.1+1.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -14.7-14.7Wisconsin — Off. scoring eff.: +5.9+5.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -1.1-1.1Wisconsin — Def. field pos.: -2.7-2.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: -5.9-5.9Wisconsin — Def. scoring eff.: +14.7+14.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Wisconsin — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloWisconsinBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalBuffalo 17Wisconsin 38
BuffaloWisconsinhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloWisconsin
Total yards316503
Rushing yards122314
Rushing attempts3040
Yds / rush4.17.8
Passing yards194189
Passing attempts4131
Yds / pass4.76.1
First downs1423
Turnovers02
Penalties63
Penalty yards7030
Sacks10
Time of possession29:3430:26

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)50% / 50%58%7.9
Q2(23)57% / 43%39%4.0
Q3(16)63% / 38%44%3.2
Q4(18)61% / 39%28%3.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 120th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.944%4.3
2nd(12)8.942%3.3
3rd(9)9.622%6.8
4th(3)3.333%1.7
All (40)—38%4.3
Rushing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.364%5.2
2nd(10)5.760%5.1
3rd(6)4.70%2.0
4th(2)1.00%0.0
All (29)—45%4.1
Wisconsin
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(21)38% / 62%57%5.0
Q2(20)65% / 35%30%6.1
Q3(14)29% / 71%43%14.2
Q4(14)43% / 57%36%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 79th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.033%6.5
2nd(12)8.842%6.6
3rd(7)7.929%3.3
All (31)—35%5.8
Rushing by down(offense 17th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)9.739%9.3
2nd(11)6.464%9.4
3rd(4)2.350%-0.3
All (38)—47%8.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 27 → TD5Drive 5: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 40 → Turnover9Drive 9: own 20 → Punt11Drive 11: own 24 → Punt13Drive 13: own 45 → TD15Drive 15: own 25 → —17Drive 17: own 20 → Punt19Drive 19: own 11 → TD21Drive 21: own 3 → TD23Drive 23: 50 → FG25Drive 25: own 40 → Turnover27Drive 27: opp 46 → TD29Drive 29: own 44 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Wisconsin drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:00614Punt1.90-1.9
3own 27Q1 11:081173TD2.17+4.9
5own 25Q1 5:07618Punt1.90-1.9
7own 40Q2 13:0936Turnover2.60-2.6
9own 20Q2 11:42836Punt1.70-1.7
11own 24Q2 6:29625Punt1.90-1.9
13own 45Q2 3:08655TD2.87+4.2
15own 25Q2 0:0020—1.90-1.9
17own 20Q3 12:2144Punt1.70-1.7
19own 11Q3 8:28189TD1.57+5.5
21own 3Q3 5:50876TD1.27+5.8
2350Q3 1:41731FG2.83+0.2
25own 40Q4 9:3541Turnover2.60-2.6
27opp 46Q4 7:43346TD2.87+4.2
29own 44Q4 3:43722End of half2.80-2.8
15 drives7150332.138+5.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.