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Minnesota13atNorth Carolina31

2023 · Week 3

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-13-6.50+6.5+13Minnesota — Off. field pos.: +1.5+1.5North Carolina — Off. field pos.: -2.7-2.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Minnesota — Off. scoring eff.: -11.3-11.3North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: +8.9+8.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Minnesota — Def. field pos.: +2.7+2.7North Carolina — Def. field pos.: -1.5-1.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Minnesota — Def. scoring eff.: -8.9-8.9North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: +11.3+11.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Minnesota — Possessions: -2.1-2.1North Carolina — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
MinnesotaNorth CarolinaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01734Q1Q2Q3FinalMinnesota 13North Carolina 31
MinnesotaNorth Carolinahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

MinnesotaNorth Carolina
Total yards303519
Rushing yards170105
Rushing attempts3137
Yds / rush5.52.8
Passing yards133414
Passing attempts3040
Yds / pass4.410.3
First downs1926
Turnovers22
Penalties35
Penalty yards2547
Sacks21
Time of possession26:5033:10

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Minnesota
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)67% / 33%50%7.2
Q2(20)50% / 50%40%4.2
Q3(20)35% / 65%40%6.9
Q4(9)67% / 33%11%1.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 93rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.727%5.8
2nd(9)8.233%6.1
3rd(7)7.30%0.1
All (31)—23%4.6
Rushing by down(offense 56th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.643%6.6
2nd(10)7.760%5.3
3rd(5)5.060%5.0
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (30)—53%5.7
North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)50% / 50%30%5.6
Q2(23)61% / 39%57%10.0
Q3(13)100% / 0%38%5.8
Q4(21)24% / 76%52%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 37th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.547%8.1
2nd(13)9.346%8.1
3rd(10)9.560%16.0
All (42)—50%10.1
Rushing by down(offense 10th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.325%3.1
2nd(11)6.927%3.4
3rd(7)2.786%4.1
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (35)—40%3.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 16 → Punt5Drive 5: own 20 → TD7Drive 7: own 28 → Turnover9Drive 9: own 25 → Turnover11Drive 11: own 20 → TD13Drive 13: own 25 → End of half15Drive 15: own 25 → Punt17Drive 17: own 20 → FG19Drive 19: own 10 → Punt21Drive 21: own 24 → TD23Drive 23: own 26 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
North Carolina drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:531075TD1.97+5.1
3own 16Q1 8:161335Punt1.70-1.7
5own 20Q1 0:32780TD1.77+5.3
7own 28Q2 12:16117Turnover2.20-2.2
9own 25Q2 9:381050Turnover1.90-1.9
11own 20Q2 4:45780TD1.77+5.3
13own 25Q2 0:2021End of half1.90-1.9
15own 25Q3 10:17720Punt1.90-1.9
17own 20Q3 2:46856FG1.73+1.3
19own 10Q4 14:00629Punt1.50-1.5
21own 24Q4 10:151271TD1.97+5.1
23own 26Q4 3:55722End of half2.00-2.0
12 drives7851922.131+8.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.