FanBoardHQ

Illinois27atMinnesota26

2023 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-4.9-2.50+2.5+4.9Illinois — Off. field pos.: +1.2+1.2Minnesota — Off. field pos.: +4.3+4.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -1.1-1.1Minnesota — Off. scoring eff.: -3.1-3.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Def. field pos.: -4.3-4.3Minnesota — Def. field pos.: -1.2-1.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +3.1+3.1Minnesota — Def. scoring eff.: +1.1+1.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Minnesota — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
IllinoisMinnesotaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalIllinois 27Minnesota 26
IllinoisMinnesotahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

IllinoisMinnesota
Total yards371260
Rushing yards7493
Rushing attempts3635
Yds / rush2.12.7
Passing yards297167
Passing attempts3422
Yds / pass8.77.6
First downs1916
Turnovers31
Penalties42
Penalty yards3310
Sacks25
Time of possession31:3828:22

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)53% / 47%65%5.6
Q2(16)69% / 31%44%4.1
Q3(16)44% / 56%25%4.7
Q4(20)55% / 45%35%6.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 16th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.042%8.1
2nd(15)8.447%6.8
3rd(10)8.240%3.2
4th(1)11.0100%22.0
All (38)45%6.7
Rushing by down(offense 49th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.725%2.3
2nd(9)7.833%4.4
3rd(6)2.283%4.8
All (31)39%3.4
Minnesota
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)50% / 50%75%8.9
Q2(16)31% / 69%44%5.4
Q3(15)53% / 47%20%1.8
Q4(14)36% / 64%29%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 93rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.063%7.6
2nd(5)8.440%11.0
3rd(9)8.322%3.7
4th(2)6.550%1.5
All (24)42%6.3
Rushing by down(offense 56th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.041%4.5
2nd(13)7.038%3.3
3rd(3)3.733%1.7
All (33)39%3.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 35 → TD4Drive 4: own 25 → TD6Drive 6: own 29 → FG8Drive 8: own 27 → End of half10Drive 10: opp 12 → FG12Drive 12: own 25 → Punt14Drive 14: own 32 → Punt16Drive 16: own 20 → Punt18Drive 18: own 31 → Punt20Drive 20: opp 34 → TD22Drive 22: own 39 → Punt24Drive 24: own 25 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Minnesota drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 35Q1 13:32665TD2.37+4.7
4own 25Q1 3:331075TD1.97+5.1
6own 29Q2 8:431453FG2.23+0.8
8own 27Q2 0:0020End of half2.10-2.1
10opp 12Q3 13:484-3FG4.43-1.4
12own 25Q3 10:16710Punt1.90-1.9
14own 32Q3 4:3844Punt2.30-2.3
16own 20Q3 1:08616Punt1.70-1.7
18own 31Q4 11:37617Punt2.20-2.2
20opp 34Q4 6:38234TD3.56+2.5
22own 39Q4 4:0456Punt2.50-2.5
24own 25Q4 0:5050Downs1.90-1.9
12 drives6226029.126-3.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.