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Central Michigan13atBuffalo37

2023 · Week 6

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-18.8-9.40+9.4+18.8Central Michigan — Off. field pos.: -1.8-1.8Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +16.3+16.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Central Michigan — Off. scoring eff.: -10.0-10.0Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -2.1-2.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Central Michigan — Def. field pos.: -16.3-16.3Buffalo — Def. field pos.: +1.8+1.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Central Michigan — Def. scoring eff.: +2.1+2.1Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: +10.0+10.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Central Michigan — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Buffalo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Central MichiganBuffaloBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02141Q1Q2Q3FinalCentral Michigan 13Buffalo 37
Central MichiganBuffalohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Central MichiganBuffalo
Total yards360355
Rushing yards80123
Rushing attempts2635
Yds / rush3.13.5
Passing yards280232
Passing attempts4932
Yds / pass5.77.3
First downs2118
Turnovers40
Penalties65
Penalty yards5030
Sacks21
Time of possession27:4332:17

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Central Michigan
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)50% / 50%28%2.9
Q2(19)68% / 32%42%3.5
Q3(25)84% / 16%24%3.0
Q4(14)71% / 29%79%8.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 112th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.863%6.2
2nd(16)8.925%2.9
3rd(15)8.747%4.8
4th(3)4.733%3.3
All (53)—45%4.6
Rushing by down(offense 90th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)11.113%2.6
2nd(4)10.350%7.5
3rd(2)2.550%2.0
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (23)—26%3.3
Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%31%5.8
Q2(21)57% / 43%38%5.8
Q3(13)54% / 46%38%5.0
Q4(17)47% / 53%41%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 120th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.031%4.5
2nd(13)8.854%9.7
3rd(7)5.614%4.9
4th(1)4.0100%10.0
All (34)—38%6.7
Rushing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)8.538%3.4
2nd(10)6.140%4.4
3rd(6)7.533%4.5
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (33)—36%3.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 23 → Punt4Drive 4: own 30 → Downs6Drive 6: own 38 → FG8Drive 8: own 24 → FG10Drive 10: opp 43 → TD12Drive 12: opp 48 → FG15Drive 15: opp 47 → TD17Drive 17: own 40 → Punt19Drive 19: own 15 → Punt21Drive 21: own 16 → Missed FG23Drive 23: own 38 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Buffalo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 23Q1 14:5546Punt1.80-1.8
4own 30Q1 8:43625Downs2.20-2.2
6own 38Q1 6:54961FG2.43+0.6
8own 24Q2 10:481350FG1.93+1.1
10opp 43Q2 4:16648TD3.07+4.0
12opp 48Q2 1:01623FG2.83+0.2
15opp 47Q3 11:15647TD2.87+4.2
17own 40Q3 7:1546Punt2.60-2.6
19own 15Q3 3:1547Punt1.60-1.6
21own 16Q3 0:281883Missed FG1.70-1.7
23own 38Q4 2:424-1Punt2.40-2.4
11 drives6835525.137+11.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.