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Buffalo13atToledo31

2023 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-25.9-12.90+12.9+25.9Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +4.5+4.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +12.7+12.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -22.5-22.5Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -10.6-10.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -12.7-12.7Toledo — Def. field pos.: -4.5-4.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: +10.6+10.6Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +22.5+22.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Toledo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01734Q1Q2Q3FinalBuffalo 13Toledo 31
BuffaloToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloToledo
Total yards324355
Rushing yards173179
Rushing attempts4434
Yds / rush3.95.3
Passing yards151176
Passing attempts4119
Yds / pass3.79.3
First downs1712
Turnovers24
Penalties26
Penalty yards2852
Sacks01
Time of possession34:4425:16

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)47% / 53%13%1.5
Q2(22)50% / 50%50%4.6
Q3(24)33% / 67%33%4.4
Q4(24)67% / 33%33%3.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 120th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)9.818%1.7
2nd(15)8.027%3.1
3rd(13)7.931%6.3
4th(3)7.70%0.0
All (42)—24%3.5
Rushing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)9.735%3.8
2nd(14)5.957%5.6
3rd(6)3.550%2.8
4th(3)1.733%2.3
All (43)—44%4.1
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%38%9.8
Q2(13)38% / 62%31%6.2
Q3(7)14% / 86%43%4.3
Q4(13)31% / 69%31%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(4)10.025%1.8
2nd(6)9.567%11.5
3rd(7)10.643%12.4
All (17)—47%9.6
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.633%3.8
2nd(9)10.922%10.4
3rd(3)5.30%1.3
4th(2)1.050%4.5
All (32)—28%5.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 21 → TD4Drive 4: own 23 → —6Drive 6: own 27 → Punt8Drive 8: opp 38 → Punt10Drive 10: own 47 → TD12Drive 12: own 41 → Downs16Drive 16: opp 42 → FG18Drive 18: own 38 → —20Drive 20: opp 45 → Punt22Drive 22: opp 12 → TD24Drive 24: own 7 → Turnover26Drive 26: own 27 → Turnover28Drive 28: own 45 → —30Drive 30: own 6 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 21Q1 12:42279TD1.77+5.3
4own 23Q1 11:0423—1.80-1.8
6own 27Q1 8:40942Punt2.10-2.1
8opp 38Q1 3:3552Punt3.40-3.4
10own 47Q1 1:16753TD2.87+4.2
12own 41Q2 10:33519Downs2.60-2.6
16opp 42Q2 4:14931FG3.13-0.1
18own 38Q2 0:0028—2.40-2.4
20opp 45Q3 12:26612Punt2.90-2.9
22opp 12Q3 7:10112TD4.47+2.6
24own 7Q3 1:4421Turnover1.30-1.3
26own 27Q3 0:001161Turnover2.10-2.1
28own 45Q4 7:0833—2.80-2.8
30own 6Q4 1:25313End of half1.30-1.3
14 drives5435534.631-3.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.