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Louisville41atKentucky14

2024 · Week 14

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-16.3-8.10+8.1+16.3Louisville — Off. field pos.: +3.0+3.0Kentucky — Off. field pos.: +0.1+0.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Off. scoring eff.: +8.0+8.0Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: -14.1-14.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Def. field pos.: -0.1-0.1Kentucky — Def. field pos.: -3.0-3.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Def. scoring eff.: +14.1+14.1Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: -8.0-8.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Possessions: +2.0+2.0Kentucky — Possessions: -2.0-2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
LouisvilleKentuckyBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02345Q1Q2Q3FinalLouisville 41Kentucky 14
LouisvilleKentuckyhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

LouisvilleKentucky
Total yards486328
Rushing yards358155
Rushing attempts5133
Yds / rush7.04.7
Passing yards128173
Passing attempts1824
Yds / pass7.17.2
First downs2313
Turnovers15
Penalties34
Penalty yards2050
Sacks20
Time of possession35:0324:57

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Louisville
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%50%4.9
Q2(17)29% / 71%47%10.1
Q3(17)29% / 71%35%5.6
Q4(14)0% / 100%36%9.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 19th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.050%12.0
2nd(5)7.620%2.2
3rd(5)9.020%4.2
All (18)—33%7.1
Rushing by down(offense 24th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(24)9.342%6.6
2nd(16)5.650%8.9
3rd(8)5.150%6.8
All (48)—46%7.4
Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)36% / 64%29%3.3
Q2(14)71% / 29%29%2.9
Q3(11)45% / 55%36%6.3
Q4(13)31% / 69%54%12.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 111th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.020%9.3
2nd(7)8.743%9.6
3rd(7)10.00%1.4
All (24)—21%7.0
Rushing by down(offense 11th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.747%4.7
2nd(12)6.958%5.6
4th(1)10.00%4.0
All (28)—50%5.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 27 → Turnover3Drive 3: own 12 → Punt5Drive 5: own 17 → Punt7Drive 7: own 15 → End of half9Drive 9: own 21 → Punt11Drive 11: own 29 → Punt13Drive 13: own 40 → —15Drive 15: own 44 → Punt18Drive 18: own 27 → TD21Drive 21: own 30 → Punt23Drive 23: 50 → Downs25Drive 25: own 5 → TD27Drive 27: own 25 → Turnover29Drive 29: own 10 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Kentucky drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 27Q1 14:55313Turnover2.00-2.0
3own 12Q1 12:1743Punt1.50-1.5
5own 17Q1 7:03610Punt1.80-1.8
7own 15Q1 2:01620End of half1.60-1.6
9own 21Q2 12:5240Punt1.80-1.8
11own 29Q2 11:0840Punt2.20-2.2
13own 40Q2 4:40843—2.60-2.6
15own 44Q2 0:526-2Punt2.70-2.7
18own 27Q3 13:15758TD2.07+5.0
21own 30Q3 4:5844Punt2.20-2.2
2350Q3 0:34714Downs2.80-2.8
25own 5Q4 11:15395TD1.47+5.6
27own 25Q4 8:59320Turnover1.90-1.9
29own 10Q4 1:07321End of half1.50-1.5
14 drives5732828.114-14.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.