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North Carolina41atVirginia14

2024 · Week 9

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-13.4-6.70+6.7+13.4North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +11.7+11.7Virginia — Off. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: +7.3+7.3Virginia — Off. scoring eff.: -11.5-11.5Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Virginia — Def. field pos.: -11.7-11.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: +11.5+11.5Virginia — Def. scoring eff.: -7.3-7.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: -2.0-2.0Virginia — Possessions: +2.0+2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaVirginiaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02345Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 41Virginia 14
North CarolinaVirginiahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaVirginia
Total yards431299
Rushing yards13818
Rushing attempts3928
Yds / rush3.50.6
Passing yards293281
Passing attempts3041
Yds / pass9.86.9
First downs2317
Turnovers02
Penalties55
Penalty yards4545
Sacks100
Time of possession31:3728:23

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%50%6.7
Q2(24)46% / 54%50%7.8
Q3(12)50% / 50%42%7.9
Q4(15)33% / 67%20%4.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 109th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)11.414%1.6
2nd(14)9.157%15.2
3rd(9)7.456%9.3
All (30)—47%10.3
Rushing by down(offense 44th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.027%4.0
2nd(11)9.055%5.7
3rd(4)3.050%1.5
4th(2)1.050%2.0
All (39)—38%4.1
Virginia
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)64% / 36%29%2.2
Q2(17)59% / 41%35%3.8
Q3(16)81% / 19%56%4.9
Q4(22)86% / 14%36%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.340%2.6
2nd(16)10.838%4.6
3rd(11)9.727%7.1
4th(4)7.525%6.8
All (51)—35%4.5
Rushing by down(offense 79th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)10.033%3.8
2nd(7)5.757%5.7
3rd(5)4.260%5.6
All (18)—50%5.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 43 → FG4Drive 4: own 30 → Punt6Drive 6: own 20 → Punt8Drive 8: own 25 → FG10Drive 10: own 25 → Punt12Drive 12: own 35 → End of half13Drive 13: own 25 → Turnover15Drive 15: own 25 → Punt17Drive 17: own 33 → Def. TD18Drive 18: own 25 → Downs20Drive 20: own 24 → TD22Drive 22: own 17 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Virginia drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 43Q1 13:071242FG3.23-0.2
4own 30Q1 5:095-13Punt2.20-2.2
6own 20Q1 0:00722Punt1.80-1.8
8own 25Q2 7:431261FG1.93+1.1
10own 25Q2 1:275-11Punt1.90-1.9
12own 35Q2 0:002-5End of half2.40-2.4
13own 25Q3 14:5133Turnover1.90-1.9
15own 25Q3 11:59511Punt1.90-1.9
17own 33Q3 4:2310135Def. TD(−7 opp)2.40-2.4
18own 25Q3 0:001028Downs1.90-1.9
20own 24Q4 10:37476TD1.98+6.1
22own 17Q4 4:561653Downs1.80-1.8
12 drives6929925.514-11.5

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.