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Missouri State13atUSC73

2025 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-48.6-24.30+24.3+48.6Missouri State — Off. field pos.: +0.2+0.2USC — Off. field pos.: +8.1+8.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri State — Off. scoring eff.: -11.9-11.9USC — Off. scoring eff.: +42.2+42.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri State — Def. field pos.: -8.1-8.1USC — Def. field pos.: -0.2-0.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri State — Def. scoring eff.: -42.2-42.2USC — Def. scoring eff.: +11.9+11.9Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri State — Possessions: +2.1+2.1USC — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Missouri StateUSCBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

04080Q1Q2Q3FinalMissouri State 13USC 73
Missouri StateUSChover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Missouri StateUSC
Total yards224597
Rushing yards65233
Rushing attempts2930
Yds / rush2.27.8
Passing yards159364
Passing attempts2827
Yds / pass5.713.5
First downs1127
Turnovers31
Penalties65
Penalty yards6045
Sacks15
Time of possession32:3127:29

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Missouri State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)67% / 33%17%4.6
Q2(17)59% / 41%35%6.2
Q3(14)64% / 36%43%3.6
Q4(10)30% / 70%30%3.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.038%5.4
2nd(9)10.622%4.1
3rd(12)8.725%3.1
4th(1)5.0100%33.0
All (30)—30%5.1
Rushing by down(offense 121st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.429%2.4
2nd(6)6.733%5.3
3rd(2)4.550%12.5
4th(1)1.0100%3.0
All (23)—35%4.1
USC
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)47% / 53%76%8.5
Q2(14)71% / 29%71%16.9
Q3(10)30% / 70%80%15.9
Q4(15)40% / 60%33%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 5th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.964%13.1
2nd(11)7.282%15.9
3rd(2)6.0100%15.0
All (27)—74%14.4
Rushing by down(offense 36th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)8.653%7.5
2nd(7)8.343%9.3
3rd(5)7.080%12.2
All (29)—55%8.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → TD4Drive 4: own 25 → TD6Drive 6: own 36 → TD9Drive 9: own 24 → TD11Drive 11: own 3 → TD13Drive 13: own 26 → TD17Drive 17: own 25 → TD19Drive 19: opp 43 → TD21Drive 21: opp 22 → FG23Drive 23: own 48 → TD25Drive 25: own 6 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USC drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 9:53775TD1.97+5.1
4own 25Q1 5:111270TD1.97+5.1
6own 36Q2 13:21164TD2.37+4.7
9own 24Q2 7:47876TD1.97+5.1
11own 3Q2 1:29597TD1.17+5.9
13own 26Q3 14:49959TD2.07+5.0
17own 25Q3 5:30175TD1.97+5.1
19opp 43Q3 0:00643TD2.97+4.1
21opp 22Q4 13:04526FG4.03-1.0
23own 48Q4 8:26752TD2.77+4.3
25own 6Q4 0:0024End of half1.30-1.3
11 drives6259723.873+49.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.