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Michigan State31atUSC45

2025 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-33-16.50+16.5+33Michigan State — Off. field pos.: +0.5+0.5USC — Off. field pos.: -0.3-0.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Michigan State — Off. scoring eff.: +9.9+9.9USC — Off. scoring eff.: +28.7+28.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Michigan State — Def. field pos.: +0.3+0.3USC — Def. field pos.: -0.5-0.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Michigan State — Def. scoring eff.: -28.7-28.7USC — Def. scoring eff.: -9.9-9.9Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Michigan State — Possessions: +4.1+4.1USC — Possessions: -4.1-4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Michigan StateUSCBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalMichigan State 31USC 45
Michigan StateUSChover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Michigan StateUSC
Total yards333517
Rushing yards108283
Rushing attempts3137
Yds / rush3.57.6
Passing yards225234
Passing attempts2326
Yds / pass9.89.0
First downs1927
Turnovers01
Penalties59
Penalty yards4867
Sacks02
Time of possession28:3928:42

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Michigan State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)50% / 50%70%9.2
Q2(16)56% / 44%31%5.1
Q3(22)32% / 68%50%3.9
Q4(6)67% / 33%17%13.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 64th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.333%6.8
2nd(5)7.880%22.8
3rd(7)7.429%3.9
4th(1)7.00%0.0
All (25)—40%8.9
Rushing by down(offense 59th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)8.950%5.0
2nd(11)6.836%2.7
3rd(4)4.375%3.8
All (29)—48%4.0
USC
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)41% / 59%65%8.5
Q2(21)62% / 38%57%10.0
Q3(6)17% / 83%50%10.7
Q4(18)22% / 78%56%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 5th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.667%13.2
2nd(8)7.850%6.4
3rd(6)5.567%7.3
4th(2)3.550%6.5
All (25)—60%9.1
Rushing by down(offense 36th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)9.552%8.7
2nd(11)5.455%6.0
3rd(5)2.680%7.0
All (37)—57%7.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 19 → FG3Drive 3: own 28 → TD5Drive 5: own 7 → TD7Drive 7: own 11 → Downs9Drive 9: own 12 → TD12Drive 12: own 43 → TD16Drive 16: own 25 → TD18Drive 18: opp 28 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USC drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 19Q1 14:481473FG1.73+1.3
3own 28Q1 5:14672TD2.07+5.0
5own 7Q2 13:25578TD1.47+5.6
7own 11Q2 9:14544Downs1.40-1.4
9own 12Q2 4:121388TD1.57+5.5
12own 43Q3 13:00557TD2.77+4.3
16own 25Q3 0:331670TD1.97+5.1
18opp 28Q4 6:121028TD3.77+3.3
8 drives6551716.345+28.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.