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Virginia30atLouisville27

2025 · Week 6

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-16.4-8.20+8.2+16.4Virginia — Off. field pos.: +14.3+14.3Louisville — Off. field pos.: +0.8+0.8Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Off. scoring eff.: -7.0-7.0Louisville — Off. scoring eff.: +1.4+1.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Def. field pos.: -0.8-0.8Louisville — Def. field pos.: -14.3-14.3Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Def. scoring eff.: -1.4-1.4Louisville — Def. scoring eff.: +7.0+7.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Virginia — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Louisville — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
VirginiaLouisvilleBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01733Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFinalVirginia 30Louisville 27
VirginiaLouisvillehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

VirginiaLouisville
Total yards237383
Rushing yards8854
Rushing attempts3227
Yds / rush2.82.0
Passing yards149329
Passing attempts3148
Yds / pass4.86.9
First downs1425
Turnovers02
Penalties75
Penalty yards6860
Sacks52
Time of possession27:4132:19

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Virginia
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(6)67% / 33%17%3.7
Q2(21)48% / 52%29%5.0
Q3(14)57% / 43%21%2.0
Q4(21)48% / 52%33%3.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 62nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.025%2.4
2nd(9)10.922%7.3
3rd(10)9.320%0.5
4th(1)10.00%0.0
All (32)22%3.1
Rushing by down(offense 56th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.010%1.4
2nd(12)7.625%3.0
3rd(6)6.767%10.3
4th(2)1.0100%3.5
All (30)33%4.0
Louisville
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(21)81% / 19%52%6.6
Q2(13)69% / 31%62%7.4
Q3(18)67% / 33%33%2.2
Q4(20)70% / 30%45%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 46th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)10.048%6.7
2nd(16)9.538%4.0
3rd(15)8.940%6.4
All (52)42%5.7
Rushing by down(offense 2nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.050%5.7
2nd(5)6.260%5.2
3rd(2)1.0100%3.5
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (20)60%5.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 14 → Def. TD3Drive 3: own 25 → TD5Drive 5: own 30 → TD7Drive 7: own 49 → Missed FG9Drive 9: own 13 → Punt11Drive 11: own 35 → Def. TD12Drive 12: own 25 → Punt14Drive 14: own 1 → Punt16Drive 16: own 27 → Punt18Drive 18: own 45 → TD20Drive 20: own 28 → FG22Drive 22: opp 25 → FGown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Louisville drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 14Q1 11:331466Def. TD(−7 opp)1.50-1.5
3own 25Q1 5:571673TD1.97+5.1
5own 30Q2 6:26770TD2.27+4.8
7own 49Q2 0:58826Missed FG2.70-2.7
9own 13Q3 14:4585Punt1.50-1.5
11own 35Q3 7:11458Def. TD(−7 opp)2.30-2.3
12own 25Q3 6:1646Punt1.90-1.9
14own 1Q3 2:3441Punt1.10-1.1
16own 27Q3 0:41623Punt2.00-2.0
18own 45Q4 12:18655TD2.77+4.3
20own 28Q4 4:041140FG2.03+1.0
22opp 25OT 0:00619FG3.83-0.8
12 drives7738325.627+1.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Virginia at Louisville — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ