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North Carolina27atSyracuse10

2025 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-11.2-5.60+5.6+11.2North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +9.8+9.8Syracuse — Off. field pos.: -1.3-1.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: -5.5-5.5Syracuse — Off. scoring eff.: -9.4-9.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: +1.3+1.3Syracuse — Def. field pos.: -9.8-9.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: +9.4+9.4Syracuse — Def. scoring eff.: +5.5+5.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Syracuse — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaSyracuseBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 27Syracuse 10
North CarolinaSyracusehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaSyracuse
Total yards425147
Rushing yards209108
Rushing attempts4332
Yds / rush4.93.4
Passing yards21639
Passing attempts1918
Yds / pass11.42.2
First downs2012
Turnovers11
Penalties63
Penalty yards4425
Sacks30
Time of possession35:2924:31

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)50% / 50%38%6.7
Q2(14)14% / 86%36%7.1
Q3(13)38% / 62%62%10.5
Q4(18)17% / 83%50%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 84th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)8.867%23.3
2nd(7)8.143%3.9
3rd(4)7.025%8.3
4th(1)13.0100%14.0
All (18)—50%11.9
Rushing by down(offense 126th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)9.648%4.4
2nd(12)6.342%7.4
3rd(9)4.733%2.6
4th(1)1.0100%5.0
All (43)—44%4.9
Syracuse
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)38% / 62%31%3.4
Q2(12)58% / 42%17%2.8
Q3(13)23% / 77%38%4.2
Q4(10)50% / 50%40%3.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 109th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(5)10.040%7.0
2nd(6)7.50%0.7
3rd(8)8.40%-1.3
4th(1)6.00%0.0
All (20)—10%1.4
Rushing by down(offense 83rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.950%5.2
2nd(7)6.414%2.4
3rd(4)2.875%6.3
4th(1)1.0100%9.0
All (28)—46%4.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 14 → Safety4Drive 4: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 37 → FG9Drive 9: own 30 → Punt11Drive 11: own 27 → Punt13Drive 13: own 25 → End of half14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 24 → Def. TD18Drive 18: own 25 → —20Drive 20: own 25 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Syracuse drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 14Q1 13:054-5Safety(−3 opp)1.57+5.5
4own 25Q1 7:4843Punt1.90-1.9
7own 37Q1 2:391753FG2.33+0.7
9own 30Q2 8:3762Punt2.20-2.2
11own 27Q2 5:48526Punt2.00-2.0
13own 25Q2 0:322-2End of half1.90-1.9
14own 25Q3 14:4148Punt1.90-1.9
16own 24Q3 13:041139Def. TD(−6 opp)1.90-1.9
18own 25Q3 0:01619—1.90-1.9
20own 25Q4 10:20820Downs1.90-1.9
10 drives5014719.410-9.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.