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Syracuse

Syracuse University · 2025 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#116
Efficiency
-12.3
111th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
T-16th
of 17
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Syracuse went 3-9 and was ranked 116th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 75th-ranked defense carried them, with an 118th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 124th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with an 86th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
1-2
Q3
0-1
Q4
2-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
114th
-4.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
28th
full season
28th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
29th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs TennesseeSEC#33L 2645-26.40%-6.2Q1
2vs UConnFBS Independents#69W 2720-5.6100%-6.3Q4
3vs ColgatePatriotW 6624+16.8100%14.0Q4
4@ ClemsonACC#53W 3421-22.9100%21.7Q2
5vs DukeACC#44L 338-14.30%-31.2Q3
6@ SMUACC#31L 1831-27.00%0.6Q1
8vs PittsburghACC#40L 1330-19.80%-8.3Q2
9@ Georgia TechACC#36L 1641-22.30%-18.7Q2
10vs North CarolinaACC#103L 1027+0.30%-28.9Q4
11@ Miami-FLACC#3L 1038-39.80%-3.9Q1
13@ Notre DameFBS Independents#11L 770-42.50%-43.9Q1
14vs Boston CollegeACC#124L 1234+0.30%-36.9Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Syracuse, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-38.7-11.1+16.4-6-61422-311-8-19-29-4-44-37Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 124th
SR 109thYPP 108thEPA 129th
RushingEff 86th
SR 83rdYPP 79thEPA 90th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 101st
SR 75thYPP 102ndEPA 119th
Rush defenseEff 50th
SR 65thYPP 80thEPA 34th
Dropback rate 51%Tempo -7.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 51st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 50%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 37.0Q1 · Allowed: 63.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 70.0Q2 · Allowed: 117.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 34.0Q3 · Allowed: 100.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 91.0Q4 · Allowed: 97.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSyracuseOffenseDefense
Syracuse Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 118th
-7.9
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -7.2
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -7.2= -7.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 92nd · Finishing 117th

Defensive EffRanked 75th
-1.4
Field position: -2.8Finishing drives: +1.3
Field position -2.8Finishing drives +1.3= -1.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 132nd · Finishing 59th

1.60 points per drive on offense, 2.57 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(182)47% / 53%36%5.2
Q2(231)55% / 45%40%5.0
Q3(176)52% / 48%33%4.4
Q4(234)55% / 45%49%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(155)10.246%6.6
2nd(151)9.539%6.1
3rd(107)8.627%3.8
4th(18)7.433%6.8
All (431)38%5.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)9.636%4.1
2nd(116)6.046%4.9
3rd(64)5.650%5.1
4th(14)1.464%1.7
All (392)42%4.4

Syracuse, all games.

Syracuse Football 2025 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ