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Bowling Green17atLouisville40

2025 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10.8-5.40+5.4+10.8Bowling Green — Off. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Louisville — Off. field pos.: +7.9+7.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Off. scoring eff.: -7.2-7.2Louisville — Off. scoring eff.: +9.4+9.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Def. field pos.: -7.9-7.9Louisville — Def. field pos.: +0.6+0.6Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Def. scoring eff.: -9.4-9.4Louisville — Def. scoring eff.: +7.2+7.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Louisville — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Bowling GreenLouisvilleBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02244Q1Q2Q3FinalBowling Green 17Louisville 40
Bowling GreenLouisvillehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Bowling GreenLouisville
Total yards321439
Rushing yards190126
Rushing attempts2929
Yds / rush6.64.3
Passing yards131313
Passing attempts2133
Yds / pass6.29.5
First downs1421
Turnovers21
Penalties66
Penalty yards4355
Sacks30
Time of possession26:0833:52

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Bowling Green
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)31% / 69%31%5.0
Q2(18)44% / 56%56%4.4
Q3(9)44% / 56%11%1.6
Q4(6)50% / 50%67%25.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 130th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)10.057%10.6
2nd(6)8.333%8.0
3rd(7)7.729%3.3
All (20)—40%6.9
Rushing by down(offense 131st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.050%5.1
2nd(8)6.625%11.3
3rd(5)6.440%3.6
All (29)—41%6.6
Louisville
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)50% / 50%80%7.9
Q2(12)92% / 8%50%10.1
Q3(18)67% / 33%44%7.6
Q4(19)37% / 63%53%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 46th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.460%9.3
2nd(8)8.338%3.1
3rd(7)11.943%11.6
All (35)—51%8.4
Rushing by down(offense 2nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)8.973%8.0
2nd(9)6.244%5.0
3rd(4)5.850%5.8
All (24)—58%6.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 23 → Punt5Drive 5: own 40 → TD7Drive 7: own 21 → TD10Drive 10: own 20 → Punt12Drive 12: own 17 → End of half13Drive 13: own 25 → FG15Drive 15: own 45 → FG17Drive 17: own 35 → FG19Drive 19: opp 35 → FG21Drive 21: own 25 → TD23Drive 23: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Louisville drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 23Q1 12:5749Punt1.80-1.8
5own 40Q1 6:271070TD2.57+4.5
7own 21Q2 14:08987TD1.77+5.3
10own 20Q2 5:1744Punt1.70-1.7
12own 17Q2 0:12630End of half1.60-1.6
13own 25Q3 14:51978FG1.93+1.1
15own 45Q3 8:09533FG2.73+0.3
17own 35Q3 6:27826FG2.33+0.7
19opp 35Q4 14:43411FG3.63-0.6
21own 25Q4 12:191277TD1.97+5.1
23own 25Q4 4:061024End of half1.90-1.9
11 drives6243923.640+16.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.