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Toledo22atLouisville27

2025 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-4-20+2+4Toledo — Off. field pos.: +2.7+2.7Louisville — Off. field pos.: +1.2+1.2Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -3.5-3.5Louisville — Off. scoring eff.: +3.1+3.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: -1.2-1.2Louisville — Def. field pos.: -2.7-2.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: -3.1-3.1Louisville — Def. scoring eff.: +3.5+3.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: 0.00.0Louisville — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoLouisvilleBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 22Louisville 27
ToledoLouisvillehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoLouisville
Total yards336333
Rushing yards169180
Rushing attempts4036
Yds / rush4.25.0
Passing yards167153
Passing attempts2824
Yds / pass6.06.4
First downs2023
Turnovers11
Penalties146
Penalty yards10047
Sacks24
Time of possession31:4628:14

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)43% / 57%29%4.4
Q2(17)53% / 47%24%3.6
Q3(14)29% / 71%50%5.4
Q4(22)59% / 41%59%6.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.438%4.5
2nd(12)9.333%4.6
3rd(6)11.717%2.5
4th(1)11.0100%26.0
All (32)—34%4.8
Rushing by down(offense 65th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.944%5.2
2nd(11)7.655%5.6
3rd(6)10.050%6.3
All (35)—49%5.5
Louisville
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)57% / 43%36%6.5
Q2(19)63% / 37%37%3.1
Q3(13)31% / 69%69%6.8
Q4(12)17% / 83%58%6.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 46th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.550%4.5
2nd(11)8.555%6.4
3rd(5)9.420%4.4
All (26)—46%5.3
Rushing by down(offense 2nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.063%9.5
2nd(6)5.817%-1.0
3rd(4)1.80%0.8
4th(3)1.0100%2.0
All (32)—50%5.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: opp 49 → —5Drive 5: own 20 → Punt9Drive 9: own 9 → Punt11Drive 11: own 15 → Punt13Drive 13: own 36 → End of half15Drive 15: own 23 → TD17Drive 17: opp 22 → TD19Drive 19: own 25 → Punt21Drive 21: own 25 → Safety23Drive 23: own 42 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Louisville drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:46875TD1.97+5.1
3opp 49Q1 6:41813—2.80-2.8
5own 20Q1 0:01821Punt1.70-1.7
9own 9Q2 6:30813Punt1.40-1.4
11own 15Q2 1:45911Punt1.50-1.5
13own 36Q2 0:03317End of half2.30-2.3
15own 23Q3 8:23977TD1.87+5.2
17opp 22Q3 2:10622TD4.07+3.0
19own 25Q4 10:325-1Punt1.90-1.9
21own 25Q4 6:19475Safety(−2 opp)1.96+4.1
23own 42Q4 2:0612-2End of half2.60-2.6
11 drives6433323.927+3.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.