FanBoardHQ

LSU

Louisiana State University · 2026 · SEC

Efficiency
+17.8
13th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
7th
proj. of 16
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LSU is 2-0 and ranked 13th in overall efficiency. Their 4th-ranked defense carries them, with a 39th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 29th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 104th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+7 left
Q2
0-0
+1 left
Q3
0-0
Q4
2-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 8.1 wins
Strength of Record
14th
+0.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
77th
full season
8th
AP poll
#7
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
7th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs ClemsonACC#67W 5110+21.9100%31.7Q4
2vs Louisiana TechSun Belt#66W 4514+21.6100%20.0Q4
3@ Ole MissSEC#25Preview+2.857%Q1
4vs Texas A&MSEC#4Preview-2.644%Q1
5vs McNeeseSouthlandPreview+51.3100%Q4
6@ KentuckySEC#55Preview+10.373%Q2
7vs Mississippi StateSEC#18Preview+5.362%Q1
8@ AuburnSEC#23Preview+2.055%Q1
10vs AlabamaSEC#6Preview-2.045%Q1
11vs TexasSEC#3Preview-3.741%Q1
12@ TennesseeSEC#14Preview-2.444%Q1
13@ ArkansasSEC#94Preview+21.289%Q4

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on LSU, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+2.5+15.9+29.23220Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 104th
SR 73rdYPP 83rdEPA 115th
RushingEff 29th
SR 33rdYPP 32ndEPA 28th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 1st
SR 1stYPP 1stEPA 1st
Rush defenseEff 1st
SR 1stYPP 1stEPA 1st
Dropback rate 47%Tempo +2.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 49th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 25%1st2nd · Offense: 50%2nd · Defense allowed: 18%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 66%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 19%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 20.0Q1 · Allowed: 3.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 14.0Q2 · Allowed: 0.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 27.0Q3 · Allowed: 0.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 28.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLSUOffenseDefense
LSU Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 39th
+4.0
Field position: +2.9Finishing drives: +1.0
Field position +2.9Finishing drives +1.0= +4.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 7th · Finishing 60th

Defensive EffRanked 4th
+11.9
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: +12.1
Field position -0.3Finishing drives +12.1= +11.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 85th · Finishing 2nd

3.30 points per drive on offense, 0.61 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 37.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(43)42% / 58%53%5.8
Q2(60)53% / 47%43%6.3
Q3(34)44% / 56%50%8.1
Q4(42)38% / 62%55%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(39)10.746%9.1
2nd(22)8.945%7.3
3rd(19)7.663%10.2
4th(1)2.0100%3.0
All (81)51%8.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(45)9.440%3.4
2nd(38)7.453%7.3
3rd(14)2.464%1.4
4th(1)6.0100%12.0
All (98)49%4.7

LSU, all games.