Sun Belt
2026 · through Week 2
Sun Belt is the 8th-ranked FBS conference by average FanBoardHQ efficiency ranking, with 0 teams in the top 25. Louisiana Tech leads the conference, ranked 66th in efficiency nationally.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 66 | 71 | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5.4 |
| Louisiana | 73 | 63 | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5.0 |
| James Madison | 75 | 47 | 11 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.9 |
| Appalachian State | 84 | 34 | 13 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.9 |
| Georgia State | 78 | 44 | 8 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 4.8 |
| Southern Miss | 86 | 80 | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4.6 |
| South Alabama | 90 | 112 | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4.3 |
| Marshall | 103 | 67 | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.8 |
| Arkansas State | 109 | 110 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.5 |
| Troy | 110 | 48 | 5 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3.4 |
| Old Dominion | 106 | 93 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.3 |
| Coastal Carolina | 112 | 109 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.2 |
| Georgia Southern | 113 | 108 | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3.2 |
| ULM | 134 | 126 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.5 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 5.8% | 16.0% | 27.4% | 28.5% | 16.6% | 4.1% |
| Louisiana | 0.0% | 0.3% | 2.4% | 9.4% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 24.1% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| James Madison | 0.0% | 0.6% | 3.4% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 28.8% | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| Appalachian State | 0.0% | 0.5% | 3.3% | 11.4% | 23.2% | 28.9% | 21.8% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Georgia State | 0.0% | 0.7% | 3.8% | 12.2% | 23.8% | 28.7% | 20.9% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Southern Miss | 0.1% | 1.0% | 5.1% | 14.7% | 25.7% | 27.8% | 18.2% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| South Alabama | 0.1% | 1.4% | 6.9% | 18.2% | 27.9% | 26.0% | 14.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Marshall | 0.4% | 3.6% | 12.5% | 24.0% | 28.0% | 20.3% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Arkansas State | 0.6% | 5.2% | 16.7% | 28.0% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Troy | 0.7% | 5.6% | 17.6% | 28.4% | 26.6% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Old Dominion | 1.1% | 7.2% | 19.1% | 28.2% | 25.1% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 1.3% | 7.9% | 20.4% | 28.7% | 24.3% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Georgia Southern | 1.6% | 9.0% | 21.2% | 28.2% | 23.2% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| ULM | 18.3% | 35.0% | 28.8% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Louisiana Tech | 73 | 85 | 82 | 81 | 19 | 76 | 66 |
| Louisiana | 92 | 49 | 54 | 88 | 105 | 88 | 73 |
| James Madison | 97 | 19 | 59 | 72 | 13 | 101 | 75 |
| Appalachian State | 28 | 105 | 86 | 37 | 135 | 77 | 84 |
| Georgia State | 17 | 51 | 57 | 58 | 45 | 100 | 78 |
| Southern Miss | 99 | 82 | 79 | 104 | 59 | 84 | 86 |
| South Alabama | 71 | 86 | 68 | 127 | 90 | 106 | 90 |
| Marshall | 61 | 137 | 114 | 136 | 53 | 79 | 103 |
| Arkansas State | 79 | 93 | 90 | 128 | 113 | 126 | 109 |
| Troy | 112 | 116 | 107 | 78 | 58 | 82 | 110 |
| Old Dominion | 66 | 59 | 105 | 61 | 23 | 92 | 106 |
| Coastal Carolina | 94 | 26 | 110 | 96 | 119 | 110 | 112 |
| Georgia Southern | 89 | 100 | 119 | 56 | 69 | 83 | 113 |
| ULM | 137 | 118 | 122 | 102 | 132 | 137 | 134 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| James Madison | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Appalachian State | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Georgia State | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Southern Miss | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| South Alabama | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Marshall | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Arkansas State | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Troy | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Old Dominion | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Coastal Carolina | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Georgia Southern | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| ULM | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 2.7 | -3.3 |
| Louisiana | 7.0 | -10.0 |
| James Madison | -7.2 | -3.5 |
| Appalachian State | 7.8 | -3.3 |
| Georgia State | 1.8 | 9.5 |
| Southern Miss | 7.8 | -19.2 |
| South Alabama | -8.7 | -3.7 |
| Marshall | -18.8 | -15.7 |
| Arkansas State | -15.8 | -4.3 |
| Troy | -13.9 | -10.5 |
| Old Dominion | -3.4 | -30.1 |
| Coastal Carolina | -9.3 | -6.8 |
| Georgia Southern | -6.3 | -11.2 |
| ULM | -28.4 | -20.6 |