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Rice

Rice University · 2026 · American Athletic

Efficiency
-13.6
118th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
13th
proj. of 14
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Rice is 1-1 and ranked 118th in overall efficiency. Their 89th-ranked defense carries them, with a 109th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 87% of offensive plays with an 119th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 13% of plays with an 118th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
0-0
+4 left
Q4
1-0
+4 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.3 wins
Strength of Record
57th
-0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
9th
full season
69th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
70th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Houston ChristianSouthlandW 313+19.2100%-1.5Q4
2@ Notre DameFBS Independents#1L 052-41.60%-26.9Q1
3vs Western MichiganMid-American#38Preview-18.015%Q2
4@ Fresno StatePac-12#79Preview-13.322%Q3
5vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#42Preview-17.116%Q3
6@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#102Preview-7.633%Q4
7vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#80Preview-7.633%Q4
8@ Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#91Preview-10.826%Q4
10@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#52Preview-21.710%Q2
11vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#74Preview-8.631%Q4
12@ TempleAmerican Athletic#87Preview-11.824%Q3
13vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#56Preview-15.418%Q3

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Rice, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.8-13.5-2.2-1-27Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 118th
SR 122ndYPP 132ndEPA 103rd
RushingEff 119th
SR 131stYPP 94thEPA 115th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 125th
SR 101stYPP 132ndEPA 123rd
Rush defenseEff 102nd
SR 126thYPP 69thEPA 98th
Dropback rate 13%Tempo +2.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 80th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 36%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 50%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 7.0Q1 · Allowed: 17.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 10.0Q2 · Allowed: 21.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 0.0Q3 · Allowed: 10.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 14.0Q4 · Allowed: 0.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledRiceOffenseDefense
Rice Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 109th
-6.0
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -4.7
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -4.7= -6.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 108th · Finishing 103rd

Defensive EffRanked 89th
-2.7
Field position: -3.4Finishing drives: +0.6
Field position -3.4Finishing drives +0.6= -2.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 136th · Finishing 64th

1.48 points per drive on offense, 1.79 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(31)23% / 77%32%2.8
Q2(42)21% / 79%40%4.8
Q3(22)9% / 91%41%5.2
Q4(25)20% / 80%60%7.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)10.017%5.0
2nd(8)11.80%1.4
3rd(6)6.333%5.0
4th(3)4.367%5.0
All (23)22%3.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(43)10.147%6.0
2nd(31)6.545%4.8
3rd(21)6.252%4.7
4th(2)3.050%3.5
All (97)47%5.3

Rice, all games.

Rice Football 2026 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ