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Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic University · 2026 · American Athletic

Efficiency
-5.6
91st FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
1-0
Conf. finish
9th
proj. of 14
Florida Atlantic Fanboard →

Florida Atlantic is 1-1 and ranked 91st in overall efficiency. Their 45th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by an 111th-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 60% of offensive plays with an 81st-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with an 110th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
0-0
+3 left
Q4
1-0
+5 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
64th
-0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
17th
full season
80th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
67th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ FloridaSEC#12L 2166-26.20%-14.7Q1
2vs NavyAmerican Athletic#101W 3830+5.6100%2.6Q4
3vs FIUConference USA#100Preview+5.262%Q4
4@ ULMSun Belt#134Preview+12.777%Q4
5vs Texas SouthernSWACPreview+32.597%Q4
7@ ArmyAmerican Athletic#56Preview-12.823%Q2
8vs RiceAmerican Athletic#118Preview+10.874%Q4
9@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#52Preview-13.721%Q2
10vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#42Preview-9.030%Q3
11@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#80Preview-5.038%Q3
12vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#43Preview-8.930%Q3
13@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#102Preview+0.551%Q4

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Florida Atlantic, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.3-6.0+1.3-153Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 81st
SR 57thYPP 55thEPA 91st
RushingEff 110th
SR 117thYPP 131stEPA 88th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 94th
SR 66thYPP 112thEPA 98th
Rush defenseEff 137th
SR 115thYPP 137thEPA 137th
Dropback rate 60%Tempo +0.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 71st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 55%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 14.0Q1 · Allowed: 24.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 31.0Q2 · Allowed: 21.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 14.0Q3 · Allowed: 21.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 0.0Q4 · Allowed: 28.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFlorida AtlanticOffenseDefense
Florida Atlantic Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 45th
+3.0
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: +3.6
Field position -0.6Finishing drives +3.6= +3.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 85th · Finishing 39th

Defensive EffRanked 111th
-5.8
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: -5.8
Field position +0.0Finishing drives -5.8= -5.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 67th · Finishing 114th

1.92 points per drive on offense, 3.78 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(44)75% / 25%41%7.3
Q2(53)55% / 45%47%5.5
Q3(34)47% / 53%50%5.5
Q4(32)38% / 63%38%3.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(36)10.058%7.1
2nd(30)8.947%9.2
3rd(19)7.637%4.9
4th(5)3.660%7.0
All (90)50%7.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(31)10.226%2.6
2nd(22)8.123%2.8
3rd(17)4.471%5.6
4th(3)2.067%2.0
All (73)37%3.3

Florida Atlantic, all games.