Sacramento State
California State University, Sacramento · 2022 · Big Sky
Sacramento State carried a +0.5 efficiency rating. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 112th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with an 86th-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
No projection.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | Western Athletic | — | W 56–33 | +29.1 | 100% | 3.9 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Northern Iowa | MVFC | — | W 37–21 | +3.8 | 100% | 10.1 | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Colorado State | Mountain West | — | W 41–10 | +16.9 | 100% | 10.2 | Q4 |
| 5 | @ Cal Poly | Big Sky | — | W 49–21 | +33.5 | 100% | -6.0 | Q4 |
| 6 | vs Northern Colorado | Big Sky | — | W 55–7 | +36.8 | 100% | -0.2 | Q4 |
| 7 | @ Eastern Washington | Big Sky | — | W 52–28 | +26.0 | 100% | -2.0 | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Montana | Big Sky | — | W 31–24 | +8.1 | 100% | -7.5 | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Idaho | Big Sky | — | W 31–28 | +10.3 | 100% | -4.9 | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Weber State | Big Sky | — | W 33–30 | +0.9 | 100% | 3.0 | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Portland State | Big Sky | — | W 45–17 | +23.6 | 100% | 15.2 | Q4 |
| 12 | vs UC Davis | Big Sky | — | W 27–21 | +6.9 | 100% | 0.3 | Q4 |
| 14 | vs Richmond | CAA | — | W 38–31 | +11.8 | 100% | -4.3 | Q4 |
| 15 | vs Incarnate Word | Southland | — | L 63–66 | +3.8 | 0% | -11.3 | Q4 |
13 played · 12-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Sacramento State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.