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Mountain West

2022 · through CFP Finals

Mountain West Fanboard →

Mountain West was the 9th-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Fresno State led the conference, ranked 41st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Boise State58461110-48-18.0
Fresno State47391210-48-18.0
Air Force45451010-35-35.0
San Diego State917537-65-35.0
San José State897797-55-35.0
Utah State1118876-75-35.0
Wyoming1027847-65-35.0
Colorado State12611753-93-53.0
UNLV1059965-73-53.0
Hawai'i12912483-102-62.0
Nevada12312512-100-80.0
New Mexico12812622-100-80.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Boise StateFresno StateAir ForceSan Diego StateSan José StateUtah StateWyomingColorado StateUNLVHawai'iNevadaNew Mexico
Boise StateW 28-16L 14-19L 13-35·L 23-42L 17-20L 10-49··L 3-41L 14-31
Fresno StateL 16-28·L 28-32L 10-17·L 0-30·L 30-37L 13-55L 14-41L 9-41
Air ForceW 19-14·L 3-13·W 34-27W 17-14L 12-24L 7-42·L 20-48L 3-35
San Diego StateW 35-13W 32-28W 13-3L 27-43···L 10-14L 14-16L 7-23L 10-34
San José State·W 17-10·W 43-27W 35-31L 16-33L 16-28L 7-40L 14-27L 28-35·
Utah StateW 42-23·L 27-34·L 31-35W 28-14L 13-17W 34-24L 34-41·L 10-27
WyomingW 20-17W 30-0L 14-17·W 33-16L 14-28L 13-14·L 20-27·L 14-27
Colorado StateW 49-10·W 24-12·W 28-16W 17-13W 14-13·L 13-17L 14-17L 0-17
UNLV·W 37-30W 42-7W 14-10W 40-7L 24-34··W 31-25L 22-27L 20-31
Hawai'i·W 55-13·W 16-14W 27-14W 41-34W 27-20W 17-13L 25-31L 16-31·
NevadaW 41-3W 41-14W 48-20W 23-7W 35-28··W 17-14W 27-22W 31-16·
New MexicoW 31-14W 41-9W 35-3W 34-10·W 27-10W 27-14W 17-0W 31-20··
Exp. wins for a #25 team7.57.77.16.57.06.86.76.76.86.96.56.5
Conf. sched. difficulty rank11th12th10th3rd9th7th4th5th6th8th1st2nd
Projected conf. wins8.08.05.05.05.05.05.03.03.02.00.00.0
Conference record8-18-15-35-35-35-35-33-53-52-60-80-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Boise State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Fresno State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Air Force0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
San Diego State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
San José State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Utah State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Wyoming0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Colorado State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
UNLV0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Hawai'i0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Nevada100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
New Mexico100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Boise State40455164604658
Fresno State68803843705247
Air Force33304287684145
San Diego State9712012067333791
San José State1008388112897889
Utah State1241261059891107111
Wyoming135551167010069102
Colorado State1341221281199388126
UNLV1065673111115125105
Hawai'i13350114132135127129
Nevada13112512211372110123
New Mexico138129131978898128

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
Boise StateFresno State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Boise State0-11-02-17-210-4
Fresno State0-22-10-08-110-4
Air Force0-01-00-19-210-3
San Diego State0-10-20-17-27-6
San José State0-00-20-07-37-5
Utah State0-10-11-25-36-7
Wyoming0-10-11-26-27-6
Colorado State0-10-30-13-43-9
UNLV0-10-00-45-25-7
Hawai'i0-10-10-23-63-10
Nevada0-10-10-32-52-10
New Mexico0-10-10-22-62-10

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14
Boise State0.92.81.1-18.717.122.414.99.3-5.718.0-4.51.2-10.7
Fresno State-11.712.1-9.4-17.2-13.3-2.313.4-8.920.72.120.117.019.9
Air Force26.90.8-10.815.0-1.7-18.827.9-5.50.48.4-5.45.5
San Diego State-20.6-14.7-8.9-3.5-20.7-24.61.47.5-10.59.79.3-6.6
San José State-24.6-0.511.38.823.61.5-12.9-10.0-23.1-17.5-12.0
Utah State-7.7-21.0-29.3-27.9-13.010.8-12.4-21.1-7.3-12.7-3.0-11.7
Wyoming-10.7-4.4-14.76.6-13.2-25.3-6.0-3.0-13.0-16.2-2.1-21.4
Colorado State-13.4-32.0-31.0-28.8-14.4-20.8-21.1-25.0-15.6-13.1-7.8-7.3
UNLV1.2-4.121.42.4-13.6-41.6-36.1-7.4-8.0-8.0-26.3-17.9
Hawai'i-28.1-19.0-21.2-44.0-6.3-5.1-22.0-20.9-47.0-25.2-9.1-18.3
Nevada-1.3-14.9-9.4-27.7-23.4-37.4-27.1-12.2-33.1-33.1-12.2
New Mexico3.6-20.5-0.9-16.2-19.1-25.2-25.3-28.9-27.9-23.7-37.5-33.0