Sacramento State
California State University, Sacramento · 2025 · Big Sky
Sacramento State carried a -10.4 efficiency rating. They ran the ball on 63% of offensive plays with a 130th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 37% of plays with a 123rd-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
No projection.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ South Dakota State | MVFC | — | L 3–20 | -6.6 | 0% | -22.3 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Nevada | Mountain West | — | L 17–20 | +4.2 | 0% | -18.4 | Q4 |
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | NEC | — | W 49–28 | +23.3 | 100% | -13.2 | Q4 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | UAC | — | W 45–16 | +20.4 | 100% | 7.0 | Q4 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | Big Sky | — | L 24–32 | +6.5 | 0% | -24.9 | Q4 |
| 7 | @ Weber State | Big Sky | — | W 55–27 | +10.7 | 100% | 6.4 | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Northern Colorado | Big Sky | — | W 40–35 | +15.0 | 100% | -17.7 | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Montana | Big Sky | — | L 35–49 | -10.0 | 0% | -15.6 | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Eastern Washington | Big Sky | — | W 35–13 | +6.9 | 100% | 3.5 | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Portland State | Big Sky | — | W 52–24 | +19.9 | 100% | -3.2 | Q4 |
| 12 | vs Idaho | Big Sky | — | W 23–20 | +9.4 | 100% | -16.5 | Q4 |
| 13 | @ UC Davis | Big Sky | — | L 27–31 | -4.3 | 0% | -9.7 | Q4 |
12 played · 7-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Sacramento State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.