Sun Belt

2024 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

Sun Belt was the 7th-ranked FBS conference in 2024 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Marshall led the conference, ranked 37th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Marshall	54	34	13	10-3	8-1	8.0
Louisiana	65	46	14	10-4	7-2	7.0
Georgia Southern	77	55	6	8-5	6-2	6.0
Arkansas State	115	59	9	8-5	5-3	5.0
South Alabama	80	80	12	7-6	5-3	5.0
Texas State	57	66	11	8-5	5-3	5.0
James Madison	59	53	10	9-4	4-4	4.0
Old Dominion	71	97	7	5-7	4-4	4.0
Appalachian State	109	88	1	5-6	3-5	3.0
Coastal Carolina	97	93	4	6-7	3-5	3.0
Troy	106	112	8	4-8	3-5	3.0
ULM	103	96	5	5-7	3-5	3.0
Georgia State	112	119	2	3-9	1-7	1.0
Southern Miss	131	133	3	1-11	0-8	0.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Marshall	Louisiana	Georgia Southern	Arkansas State	South Alabama	Texas State	James Madison	Old Dominion	Appalachian State	Coastal Carolina	Troy	ULM	Georgia State	Southern Miss
Marshall		L 3-31	W 24-23	·	·	·	L 33-35	L 35-42	L 37-52	L 19-31	·	L 23-28	L 20-35	L 3-37
Louisiana	W 31-3		·	L 19-55	W 24-22	L 17-23	·	·	L 24-34	L 24-34	L 30-51	L 23-37	·	L 13-23
Georgia Southern	L 23-24	·		·	L 30-34	·	L 14-28	W 47-19	L 20-29	L 6-26	W 28-20	·	L 21-38	·
Arkansas State	·	W 55-19	·		L 16-18	W 41-9	·	W 40-32	·	·	L 31-34	L 21-28	L 20-27	L 28-44
South Alabama	·	L 22-24	W 34-30	W 18-16		W 45-38	·	·	L 14-48	·	L 9-25	L 17-46	·	L 14-35
Texas State	·	W 23-17	·	L 9-41	L 38-45		·	W 24-14	·	·	L 17-38	L 17-38	W 52-44	L 3-58
James Madison	W 35-33	·	W 28-14	·	·	·		L 32-35	W 34-20	L 7-39	·	W 21-19	L 7-38	L 15-32
Old Dominion	W 42-35	·	L 19-47	L 32-40	·	L 14-24	W 35-32		W 28-20	W 45-37	·	·	L 14-21	·
Appalachian State	W 52-37	W 34-24	W 29-20	·	W 48-14	·	L 20-34	L 20-28		W 38-24	·	·	L 26-33	·
Coastal Carolina	W 31-19	W 34-24	W 26-6	·	·	·	W 39-7	L 37-45	L 24-38		W 38-24	·	L 27-48	·
Troy	·	W 51-30	L 20-28	W 34-31	W 25-9	W 38-17	·	·	·	L 24-38		W 13-9	·	L 20-52
ULM	W 28-23	W 37-23	·	W 28-21	W 46-17	W 38-17	L 19-21	·	·	·	L 9-13		·	L 21-38
Georgia State	W 35-20	·	W 38-21	W 27-20	·	L 44-52	W 38-7	W 21-14	W 33-26	W 48-27	·	·		·
Southern Miss	W 37-3	W 23-13	·	W 44-28	W 35-14	W 58-3	W 32-15	·	·	·	W 52-20	W 38-21	·
Exp. wins for a #25 team	7.7	7.9	6.7	6.9	7.0	7.0	6.9	6.8	6.4	6.6	6.8	6.6	6.5	6.5
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	13th	14th	6th	9th	12th	11th	10th	7th	1st	4th	8th	5th	2nd	3rd
Projected conf. wins	8.0	7.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	1.0	0.0
Conference record	8-1	7-2	6-2	5-3	5-3	5-3	4-4	4-4	3-5	3-5	3-5	3-5	1-7	0-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins
Marshall	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
Louisiana	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Georgia Southern	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Arkansas State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
South Alabama	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Texas State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
James Madison	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Old Dominion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Appalachian State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Coastal Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Troy	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
ULM	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia State	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Southern Miss	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Marshall	94	56	60	30	99	52	54
Louisiana	14	78	38	78	125	97	65
Georgia Southern	84	101	73	114	97	85	77
Arkansas State	105	98	101	126	133	115	115
South Alabama	66	21	65	86	80	90	80
Texas State	46	87	43	57	79	81	57
James Madison	107	57	76	38	57	56	59
Old Dominion	92	45	78	83	61	69	71
Appalachian State	54	97	75	124	137	125	109
Coastal Carolina	76	105	91	100	117	100	97
Troy	49	121	90	113	94	117	106
ULM	113	93	114	42	122	87	103
Georgia State	77	117	98	116	128	121	112
Southern Miss	133	120	129	127	127	128	131

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

MarshallLouisiana

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Marshall	0-2	1-0	2-1	7-0	10-3
Louisiana	0-0	1-2	1-1	8-1	10-4
Georgia Southern	0-1	0-1	3-1	5-2	8-5
Arkansas State	0-1	0-2	1-1	7-1	8-5
South Alabama	0-1	0-0	1-2	6-3	7-6
Texas State	0-1	0-0	1-1	7-3	8-5
James Madison	0-0	0-0	2-2	7-2	9-4
Old Dominion	0-1	0-1	2-2	3-3	5-7
Appalachian State	0-1	0-1	1-2	4-2	5-6
Coastal Carolina	0-0	0-2	1-1	5-4	6-7
Troy	0-1	0-1	1-3	3-3	4-8
ULM	0-1	0-2	1-2	4-2	5-7
Georgia State	0-0	2-3	0-1	1-5	3-9
Southern Miss	0-0	0-3	0-2	1-6	1-11

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14	Week 15
Marshall	11.1	-2.4		2.2	-6.0	9.4	-3.1	-0.4		-7.8	7.7	1.7	7.2	5.5	29.7
Louisiana	11.8	10.2		-2.1	1.7	-13.4	-3.7	6.9		14.2	22.5	-7.3	3.5	8.0	-25.3
Georgia Southern	-2.9	-4.4	12.9	-9.5	6.1		4.6	16.1	-31.4	2.6		-25.9	13.6	-4.7
Arkansas State	-16.5	-28.0	-7.5	-24.8		-3.0	-25.9	-5.4	-11.7		-35.3	-2.2	-4.7	-11.8
South Alabama	-23.3	-3.5	-11.6	26.5	-20.5	-13.1		6.8	10.7	-8.4		4.4	0.6	-7.8
Texas State	-15.4	26.3	7.6		-8.0	20.3	15.6	-8.5		-11.4	13.9	18.4	-26.9	7.5
James Madison	9.3	-22.0		28.8	25.8	-11.5	21.5	-17.0	-19.3		18.6	4.9	-23.2	0.5
Old Dominion	15.7	-15.8	-11.3		4.3	-15.8	-2.4	9.7	27.2	-17.6		-4.6	-4.4	-2.7
Appalachian State	7.0	-35.5	-5.0	-41.3		-16.8	-7.8		-9.5	4.5	-28.0		13.2	-9.8
Coastal Carolina	30.2	1.8	-5.8	-26.6		6.2	-27.8	-14.8		-25.1	8.1	-5.6	-24.4	10.6
Troy	-14.5	-23.1	-1.9	-11.3	-19.3	-28.9		-21.2	-12.7	5.7		11.9	-14.6	-5.7
ULM	-1.4	9.8		-13.0	-2.7	2.5	-9.7		-24.5	1.2	-21.9	-31.7	-19.1	-18.6
Georgia State	-15.3	-15.0	8.3		-21.4		-11.6	-7.9	-14.8	-6.0	-29.3	-23.4	17.1	-31.2
Southern Miss	-28.1	-3.6	-32.8	-36.8		-12.3	-26.9	-33.5	-4.8		-29.3	-41.5	-29.5	-31.5