FanBoardHQ

Marshall

Marshall University · 2024 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#37
Efficiency
+4.2
54th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
1st
of 14
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Marshall went 10-3 and was ranked 37th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 52nd-ranked defense carried them, with a 60th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 56th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 94th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
1-0
Q3
2-1
Q4
7-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
34th
-0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
80th
full season
80th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
127th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Stony BrookCoastal AthleticW 453+27.7100%11.1Q4
2@ Virginia TechACC#52L 1431-10.40%-2.4Q1
4@ Ohio StateBig Ten#1L 1449-28.50%2.2Q1
5vs Western MichiganMid-American#95W 2720+17.4100%-6.0Q4
6vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#97W 5237+18.7100%9.4Q4
7@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#62L 2324+4.20%-3.1Q3
8vs Georgia StateSun Belt#120W 3520+19.5100%-0.4Q4
10vs ULMSun Belt#99W 2823+17.7100%-7.8Q4
11@ Southern MissSun Belt#133W 373+27.4100%7.7Q4
12vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96W 3119+15.1100%1.7Q4
13@ Old DominionSun Belt#91W 4235+2.9100%7.2Q3
14@ James MadisonSun Belt#54W 3533-0.3100%5.5Q2
15@ LouisianaSun Belt#51W 313+1.3100%29.7Q3

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Marshall, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-7.4+9.5+26.511-22-69-3-0-8827630Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 94th
SR 94thYPP 91stEPA 96th
RushingEff 56th
SR 83rdYPP 39thEPA 57th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 30th
SR 45thYPP 52ndEPA 23rd
Rush defenseEff 99th
SR 85thYPP 108thEPA 100th
Dropback rate 42%Tempo -2.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 80th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 67.0Q1 · Allowed: 47.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 124.0Q2 · Allowed: 68.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 85.0Q3 · Allowed: 80.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 104.0Q4 · Allowed: 92.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarshallOffenseDefense
Marshall Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 60th
+1.1
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: -0.1
Field position +1.2Finishing drives -0.1= +1.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 26th · Finishing 70th

Defensive EffRanked 52nd
+2.7
Field position: +1.9Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position +1.9Finishing drives +0.8= +2.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 11th · Finishing 64th

2.48 points per drive on offense, 1.82 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(216)44% / 56%42%5.8
Q2(218)48% / 52%47%6.3
Q3(192)41% / 59%42%5.4
Q4(170)32% / 68%44%7.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(126)9.947%6.5
2nd(101)7.945%7.6
3rd(98)7.431%5.8
4th(7)5.457%4.3
All (332)42%6.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(232)9.942%6.1
2nd(165)7.444%5.4
3rd(60)5.953%6.3
4th(7)2.186%2.7
All (464)45%5.8

Marshall, all games.