FanBoardHQ

Louisiana

University of Louisiana at Lafayette · 2024 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#51
Efficiency
+0.2
65th FBS
Record
10-4
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
2nd
of 14
Louisiana Fanboard →

Louisiana went 10-4 and was ranked 51st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 38th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 97th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 78th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 14th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
1-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
8-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
46th
-1.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
112th
full season
112th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
129th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs GramblingSWACW 4010+38.6100%11.8Q4
2@ Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 3410+21.4100%10.2Q4
4vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#42L 3341-7.80%-2.1Q2
5@ Wake ForestACC#102W 4138+3.9100%1.7Q3
6@ Southern MissSun Belt#133W 2313+23.3100%-13.4Q4
7vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#97W 3424+14.6100%-3.7Q4
8@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96W 3424+5.5100%6.9Q4
10@ Texas StateSun Belt#63W 2317-5.3100%14.2Q2
11vs Arkansas StateSun Belt#79W 5519+15.9100%22.5Q4
12vs South AlabamaSun Belt#83L 2224+6.00%-7.3Q4
13vs TroySun Belt#113W 5130+14.2100%3.5Q4
14@ ULMSun Belt#99W 3723+8.2100%8.0Q4
15vs MarshallSun Belt#37L 331-1.30%-25.3Q3
Postseason
vs TCUBig 12#30L 334-10.20%-27.0Q2

14 played · 10-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-21.5-1.4+18.61210-22-13-471422-738-25Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 14th
SR 29thYPP 10thEPA 22nd
RushingEff 78th
SR 113thYPP 61stEPA 77th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 78th
SR 106thYPP 47thEPA 70th
Rush defenseEff 125th
SR 133rdYPP 107thEPA 120th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo -1.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 88th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 75.0Q1 · Allowed: 61.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 153.0Q2 · Allowed: 123.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 84.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 111.0Q4 · Allowed: 61.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisianaOffenseDefense
Louisiana Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 38th
+4.2
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: +4.7
Field position -0.4Finishing drives +4.7= +4.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 76th · Finishing 31st

Defensive EffRanked 97th
-4.1
Field position: +0.1Finishing drives: -4.2
Field position +0.1Finishing drives -4.2= -4.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 63rd · Finishing 102nd

2.77 points per drive on offense, 2.20 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(195)52% / 48%47%7.1
Q2(236)54% / 46%46%7.6
Q3(210)46% / 54%47%7.1
Q4(238)40% / 60%39%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(162)10.249%8.2
2nd(149)7.951%9.1
3rd(101)7.641%6.3
4th(10)5.630%4.2
All (422)47%8.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(241)9.744%6.3
2nd(130)7.232%4.4
3rd(70)5.547%5.7
4th(16)2.181%3.8
All (457)42%5.6

Louisiana, all games.