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Old Dominion

Old Dominion University · 2026 · Sun Belt

Efficiency
-9.5
106th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
11th
proj. of 14
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Old Dominion is 1-1 and ranked 106th in overall efficiency. Their 92nd-ranked defense carries them, with a 105th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 59th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 66th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-0
+3 left
Q4
1-0
+7 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.3 wins
Strength of Record
93rd
-0.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
58th
full season
104th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
88th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Norfolk StateMEACW 3110+18.2100%-3.4Q4
2@ Virginia TechACC#37L 2144-19.90%-30.1Q2
3vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#102Preview+2.155%Q4
4vs James MadisonSun Belt#75Preview-3.941%Q4
5@ Georgia StateSun Belt#78Preview-9.329%Q3
6@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#84Preview-8.331%Q3
7vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#113Preview+4.159%Q4
8@ Louisiana TechSun Belt#66Preview-11.126%Q3
9vs MarshallSun Belt#103Preview+2.556%Q4
10@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#112Preview-1.546%Q4
12@ UConnFBS Independents#105Preview-2.844%Q4
13vs Southern MissSun Belt#86Preview-2.345%Q4

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Old Dominion, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.7-15.0-2.4-3-30Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 66th
SR 70thYPP 37thEPA 83rd
RushingEff 59th
SR 85thYPP 22ndEPA 68th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 61st
SR 29thYPP 43rdEPA 83rd
Rush defenseEff 23rd
SR 30thYPP 18thEPA 26th
Dropback rate 38%Tempo -1.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 110th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 26%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 32%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 10.0Q1 · Allowed: 10.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 13.0Q2 · Allowed: 24.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 21.0Q3 · Allowed: 6.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 7.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOld DominionOffenseDefense
Old Dominion Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 105th
-4.7
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -5.1
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -5.1= -4.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 48th · Finishing 106th

Defensive EffRanked 92nd
-3.1
Field position: -3.8Finishing drives: +0.7
Field position -3.8Finishing drives +0.7= -3.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 137th · Finishing 63rd

1.96 points per drive on offense, 2.35 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(22)41% / 59%45%9.5
Q2(22)45% / 55%36%3.4
Q3(33)36% / 64%45%5.6
Q4(23)30% / 70%30%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.838%9.0
2nd(14)9.750%4.7
3rd(9)12.733%6.2
4th(2)5.050%3.5
All (38)42%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(31)9.239%4.0
2nd(19)8.232%4.5
3rd(12)4.650%11.8
4th(0)
All (62)39%5.7

Old Dominion, all games.