Southern Miss
University of Southern Mississippi · 2026 · Sun Belt
Southern Miss is 1-1 and ranked 86th in overall efficiency. Their 79th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by an 84th-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 99th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with an 82nd-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | SWAC | — | W 49–3 | +26.6 | 100% | 7.8 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Auburn | SEC | #23 | L 8–43 | -20.2 | 0% | -19.2 | Q1 |
| 3 | vs UConn | FBS Independents | #105 | Preview | +7.8 | 68% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Tulane | American Athletic | #74 | Preview | -4.8 | 39% | — | Q3 |
| 6 | @ Troy | Sun Belt | #110 | Preview | +3.1 | 57% | — | Q4 |
| 7 | vs Arkansas State | Sun Belt | #109 | Preview | +8.3 | 69% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Louisiana | Sun Belt | #73 | Preview | +0.6 | 51% | — | Q4 |
| 9 | @ ULM | Sun Belt | #134 | Preview | +13.9 | 79% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | vs James Madison | Sun Belt | #75 | Preview | +1.1 | 53% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | #66 | Preview | -6.1 | 36% | — | Q3 |
| 12 | vs South Alabama | Sun Belt | #90 | Preview | +3.9 | 59% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Old Dominion | Sun Belt | #106 | Preview | +2.3 | 55% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Southern Miss, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 137th · Finishing 49th
Field position 132nd · Finishing 70th
2.48 points per drive on offense, 1.54 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 25.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(42) | 64% / 36% | 52% | 5.2 |
| Q2(44) | 45% / 55% | 50% | 5.9 |
| Q3(25) | 24% / 76% | 60% | 5.8 |
| Q4(29) | 34% / 66% | 45% | 5.1 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(22) | 10.7 | 45% | 6.0 |
| 2nd(25) | 7.3 | 52% | 7.4 |
| 3rd(14) | 5.3 | 43% | 5.4 |
| 4th(2) | 5.5 | 0% | 0.0 |
| All (63) | — | 46% | 6.3 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(41) | 9.1 | 46% | 5.1 |
| 2nd(24) | 6.0 | 75% | 5.5 |
| 3rd(10) | 5.6 | 40% | 3.2 |
| 4th(2) | 1.0 | 100% | 3.5 |
| All (77) | — | 56% | 4.9 |
Southern Miss, all games.