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Buffalo38atLouisiana45

2023 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-11.7-5.90+5.9+11.7Buffalo — Off. field pos.: +3.5+3.5Louisiana — Off. field pos.: +7.9+7.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: +1.4+1.4Louisiana — Off. scoring eff.: +10.2+10.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -7.9-7.9Louisiana — Def. field pos.: -3.5-3.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: -10.2-10.2Louisiana — Def. scoring eff.: -1.4-1.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: +6.2+6.2Louisiana — Possessions: -6.2-6.2PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloLouisianaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalBuffalo 38Louisiana 45
BuffaloLouisianahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloLouisiana
Total yards373518
Rushing yards178269
Rushing attempts4438
Yds / rush4.07.1
Passing yards195249
Passing attempts3529
Yds / pass5.68.6
First downs1924
Turnovers23
Penalties65
Penalty yards4232
Sacks23
Time of possession33:2226:38

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)33% / 67%8%2.6
Q2(14)43% / 57%29%2.5
Q3(22)32% / 68%41%5.5
Q4(31)68% / 32%61%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 120th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.938%7.2
2nd(13)7.046%4.8
3rd(11)7.427%3.0
4th(1)3.00%1.0
All (38)—37%5.1
Rushing by down(offense 108th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)9.440%5.3
2nd(13)8.338%4.8
3rd(6)3.767%4.5
4th(2)1.5100%2.5
All (41)—46%4.9
Louisiana
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%25%3.6
Q2(23)61% / 39%52%6.4
Q3(13)23% / 77%54%15.8
Q4(13)46% / 54%69%7.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 60th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.858%6.7
2nd(7)10.071%11.6
3rd(10)6.540%5.3
4th(1)2.00%0.0
All (30)—53%7.1
Rushing by down(offense 31st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.145%5.3
2nd(13)6.546%9.2
3rd(2)4.550%34.5
All (35)—46%8.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: opp 39 → Downs5Drive 5: opp 49 → TD7Drive 7: own 46 → Punt9Drive 9: own 14 → FG11Drive 11: own 14 → Turnover14Drive 14: own 36 → TD16Drive 16: own 15 → TD20Drive 20: own 10 → Turnover22Drive 22: own 25 → TD24Drive 24: own 25 → TD27Drive 27: own 19 → Punt29Drive 29: opp 48 → —own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Louisiana drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:00520Punt1.90-1.9
3opp 39Q1 11:4948Downs3.30-3.3
5opp 49Q1 5:53825TD2.87+4.2
7own 46Q1 1:1655Punt2.80-2.8
9own 14Q2 10:001676FG1.63+1.4
11own 14Q2 1:301172Turnover1.60-1.6
14own 36Q3 13:40464TD2.47+4.6
16own 15Q3 9:25485TD1.67+5.4
20own 10Q3 2:553-1Turnover1.50-1.5
22own 25Q3 0:47865TD1.97+5.1
24own 25Q4 10:42779TD1.97+5.1
27own 19Q4 1:58712Punt1.70-1.7
29opp 48Q4 0:002-2—2.80-2.8
13 drives7051827.845+17.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.