FanBoardHQ

Louisiana

University of Louisiana at Lafayette · 2023 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#87
Efficiency
-4.8
85th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
Louisiana Fanboard →

Louisiana went 6-7 and was ranked 87th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 53rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 104th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 25th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 57th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
1-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
5-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
92nd
-4.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
123rd
full season
123rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
90th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Northwestern StateSouthlandW 3813+33.3100%-15.8Q4
2@ Old DominionSun Belt#89L 3138+1.40%-15.6Q4
3@ UABAmerican Athletic#114W 4121+6.2100%17.1Q4
4vs BuffaloMid-American#124W 4538+15.0100%-7.0Q4
5@ MinnesotaBig Ten#74L 2435-4.80%-14.7Q3
6vs Texas StateSun Belt#71W 3430+0.9100%1.0Q4
8vs Georgia StateSun Belt#77L 1720+4.20%-13.4Q4
9@ South AlabamaSun Belt#70W 3320-11.5100%25.6Q2
10@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#91L 1737+1.90%-28.9Q4
11vs Southern MissSun Belt#119L 3134+13.80%-20.9Q4
12@ TroySun Belt#28L 2431-16.80%4.9Q2
13vs ULMSun Belt#130W 5221+16.5100%8.3Q4
Postseason
vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#62L 3134-1.70%-2.8Q4

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.6-1.7+21.2-16-1617-7-151-1326-29-2158Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 57th
SR 60thYPP 49thEPA 56th
RushingEff 25th
SR 31stYPP 23rdEPA 22nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 97th
SR 127thYPP 94thEPA 80th
Rush defenseEff 99th
SR 122ndYPP 50thEPA 99th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo -1.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 91st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 52%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 66.0Q1 · Allowed: 55.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 119.0Q2 · Allowed: 95.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 93.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 93.0Q4 · Allowed: 128.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisianaOffenseDefense
Louisiana Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 53rd
+1.0
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: +0.6
Field position +0.4Finishing drives +0.6= +1.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 50th · Finishing 57th

Defensive EffRanked 104th
-5.0
Field position: -1.6Finishing drives: -3.4
Field position -1.6Finishing drives -3.4= -5.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 119th · Finishing 98th

2.41 points per drive on offense, 2.28 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(198)45% / 55%44%6.2
Q2(221)53% / 47%45%6.4
Q3(175)38% / 62%50%7.7
Q4(214)50% / 50%46%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(139)10.153%8.1
2nd(122)7.844%6.7
3rd(108)7.736%6.2
4th(11)4.936%7.7
All (380)45%7.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(231)9.645%5.5
2nd(136)7.246%6.0
3rd(54)5.856%7.0
4th(7)1.386%11.1
All (428)47%5.9

Louisiana, all games.